VGSH Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF
Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF (VGSH) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Financial Services. Listed on NASDAQ. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. If this ticker has no settled sample yet, treat the numbers as a geometric read, not a track record. Information only, not financial advice.
In the buy zone, going sideways on both timeframes
Price is sitting on the lower trend line — the level that has repeatedly held.
The next few months are read from the last 9 months, the stretch whose swings the lines actually follow, because the last 12 months alone do not contain enough turns to fit reliably (64% against 91%). The last 12 months stay as context: going sideways, +2% a year. The nearest ceiling overhead is US$58.26, from the last 9 months. What would overturn this: a close below US$57.93 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 9 months read from
- US$57.93 – US$58.26 Sideways channel, +1% a year
- Position in that channel
- -99% below the floor of it — 0% is the floor, 100% the ceiling
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (9 months)
- Lower trend line (9 months)
- The same lines over the last 12 months
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Our target
No published call today because its projected path only reaches 0.9% above the entry within 90 days, under the 6.0% floor a call has to clear to be worth making. No alerts are sent. The buy and target below are still this site's read of the fitted channel.
Buy now
US$57.61
last close · 16 Sept 2026
Channel buy is US$57.94; last close is the better price available now.
Our target
US$58.49
by 16 Dec 2026
Projected move
1.5%
gross, before costs
Last close is our buy — the best price available now.
- Upper line touches
- 5
- Lower line touches
- 4
- Fit confidence
- 91%
- Fitted
- 14 Sept 2026
About Vanguard Short-Term Treasury ETF
The fund employs an indexing investment approach designed to track the performance of the Bloomberg US Treasury 1-3 Year Index. This index includes fixed income securities issued by the U.S. Treasury (not including inflation-protected securities, floating rate securities and certain other security types), all with maturities between 1 and 3 years. At least 80% of the fund's assets will be invested in bonds included in the index.
- Sector
- Financial Services
- Industry
- Asset Management
- Country
- US
https://investor.vanguard.com/investment-products/etfs/profile/vgsh
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$33.72B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 0.23
- Avg volume
- 4.13M
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 57.84-59.01
- Exchange
- NASDAQ
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.