VALE Vale S.A.
Trend channel, buy level and 3-month target. Information only, not financial advice.
Below the channel · 9-month channel falling
Closed below support (US$13.42). Treat the buy level with caution.
- 9-month channel read from
- US$13.42 – US$14.33 · falling, −25% a year
- 12-month channel
- US$13.58 – US$14.35 · going sideways, +0% a year
- Price in channel
- −223% (0% = floor, 100% = ceiling)
- Ceiling overhead
- US$14.33
- Published levels
- Buy and target are not from this channel — see below.
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -36% from US$17.4320 Apr 2026 → 29 Oct 2026
- Whose problem it was
- Its sector3 of 4 Industrial Materials peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Temporary falls like it have resolved on the record
- Regained so far
- 4%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 91% of 9 comparable falls came back, typically in 113 days measured on its own peer group
Fell -36% (20 Apr 2026 → 29 Oct 2026); regained 4% so far; sector-wide.
Reported at the time: Wells Fargo Maintains Equal-Weight on Vale, Raises Price Target to $17 — 15 Apr 2026
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
Updated 4:05 PM ET (44 h ago)
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (9 months)
- Lower trend line (9 months)
- The same lines over the last 12 months
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Suggested path
Buy at or below
US$11.40
level as at 1 Nov 2026
Our target
US$12.54
by 13 Dec 2026
Projected move
10.0%
gross, before costs
Price is at or below our buy.
Target: VALE's usual move size (10.0%), the best return per day on this path.
This move size: reached in 20% of 9 past stretches, typically in 42 days. (0.24% per day)
- Upper line touches
- 4
- Lower line touches
- 3
- Fit confidence
- 80%
- Fitted
- 1 Nov 2026
Company information
About Vale S.A.
Operating globally and within Brazil, Vale S.A. is a major producer and seller of essential raw materials, including iron ore, iron ore pellets, nickel, and copper. Its operations are organized into two primary segments. The Iron Solutions segment is dedicated to the extraction and production of iron ore, pellets, and various other ferrous products, also providing crucial logistics services. Meanwhile, the Energy Transition Materials segment specializes in mining nickel, along with its valuable by-products such as gold, silver, cobalt, and other precious metals. This segment also handles copper, primarily used in construction for piping and electrical cables. Established in 1942, the company was formerly known as Companhia Vale do Rio Doce before officially rebranding as Vale S.A. in May 2009. Vale S.A. is headquartered in Rio De Janeiro, Brazil.
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- Industry
- Industrial Materials
- CEO
- Gustavo Duarte Pimenta
- Employees
- 65,805
- Country
- BR
Scorecard
Our own scores from the fundamentals below (not Morningstar ratings).
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$48.81B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 0.53
- Avg volume
- 28.54M
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 11.33-17.94
- Exchange
- NYSE
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted to past swing highs and lows and may not continue. Information only, not financial advice.