USB U.S. Bancorp
U.S. Bancorp (USB) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Financial Services. Listed on NYSE. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. On this symbol, 1 comparable calls have settled; 0% reached the published sell target. Information only, not financial advice.
Mid-channel, rising on both timeframes
Price is between the two trend lines. Nothing to act on yet.
Read from the last 12 months of history we hold: rising, drifting +41% a year. The target of US$68.46 sits above the nearest ceiling (US$67.27), so reaching it means breaking a line this stock has repeatedly turned at. What would overturn this: a close below US$58.27 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 12 months read from
- US$58.31 – US$67.31 Rising channel, +41% a year
- Position in that channel
- 16% 0% at the floor, 100% at the ceiling
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (12 months)
- Lower trend line (12 months)
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Suggested path
Buy now
US$59.74
last close · 16 Sept 2026
Channel buy is US$62.24; last close is the better price available now.
Our target
US$68.46
by 4 Dec 2026
Projected move
14.6%
gross, before costs
Last close is our buy — the best price available now.
The lines are drawn where this stock has actually turned: 3 touches on the ceiling, 3 on the floor, each fitted to the slope that catches the most of them. Buying one average daily range below its 50-day mean, on heavier volume than usual and while it is still above its 200-day mean, has come up 791 times; measured against the 6% floor — the least a call has to be worth to be worth making, not what it aims at — 73% cleared it, typically in 34 days, with price going about 5% against the entry along the way (63% in the worst case we have on record). Trades that have not reached the target within 3 months are counted as misses, whatever they are worth at the time. The prices above are this stock’s own — its average, its volatility — but the setup is the same one we apply everywhere: derived on eight unrelated tickers, then confirmed on 87 others it was never fitted to. We deliberately do not tune it to each stock: doing so scores worse on history the tuning never saw — 58% against 71% — because it fits the past rather than the future. On this stock the setup has come up 8 times so far, reaching target 88% of the time — too few to mean much on its own. The sell price comes from where this stock is projected to be, not from a minimum worth taking: the fitted path reaches 12% above the entry within 90 days, and of the sizes that path supports, 10% is the one that has returned the most per day of money tied up here — measured over the 8 times this entry has come up on this chart, reached 75% of the time, typically in 61 days. Smaller sizes got there sooner but paid less for the weeks they used; larger ones need a break above the projected ceiling, which is not the base case. The date published is whichever is later: that typical time, or the day the projected path itself reaches the price. It is a prediction, so it can be revised: if the run tops out before it gets there, the target is cut to what is actually on the table and you are told the same day. An ordinary pullback is not treated as topping out — those go on to make a new high about 8 times in 10, so they are ridden through. What triggers the revision is price closing below its 50-day trend and staying there, after which the odds of recovery fall to roughly 3 in 10.
On this stock's own history these rules produced 1 settled call, of which 0 reached target (0%), with an average best move of 8.8%. See the full record.
- Upper line touches
- 3
- Lower line touches
- 3
- Fit confidence
- 70%
- Fitted
- 15 Sept 2026
About U.S. Bancorp
U.S. Bancorp (USB) functions as a broad-based financial services holding company, delivering a comprehensive spectrum of banking and financial solutions throughout the United States. Its diverse customer base includes individual consumers, various businesses, institutional organizations, governmental bodies, and other financial entities. The company organizes its operations across key segments: Corporate and Commercial Banking, Consumer and Business Banking, Wealth Management and Investment Services, Payment Services, and Treasury and Corporate Support. Its offerings encompass fundamental depository services such as checking accounts, savings accounts, and time certificates. U.S. Bancorp also extends a variety of credit facilities, including traditional lending products, credit card services, lease financing, support for import/export trade, asset-backed lending, and agricultural finance. Furthermore, it provides supplementary services like capital markets access, treasury management, and receivable lock-box collection for its corporate and governmental clients. The firm also offers a full suite of asset management and fiduciary services designed for individuals, estates, foundations, corporations, and charitable organizations. Beyond these, the company supplies investment and insurance products, predominantly to customers within its operating regions, and delivers fund administration services to a range of mutual and other investment funds. Its portfolio also includes corporate and purchasing card services, corporate trust management, and merchant processing. U.S. Bancorp's capabilities additionally span investment management, ATM network operation, mortgage banking, insurance provision, brokerage activities, and leasing services. As of December 31, 2021, the company distributed its products and services through a physical network of 2,230 banking branches, mainly concentrated in the Midwest and Western United States. Digital access was also extensively provided via online platforms, mobile devices, and other electronic channels. Additionally, it managed a network of 4,059 ATMs. Founded in 1863, U.S. Bancorp is headquartered in Minneapolis, Minnesota.
- Sector
- Financial Services
- Industry
- Banks - Diversified
- CEO
- Gunjan Kedia
- Employees
- 68,520
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$97.22B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 0.98
- Avg volume
- 8.38M
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 45.02-66.08
- Exchange
- NYSE
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.