USAR USA Rare Earth Inc
Trend channel, buy level and 3-month target. Information only, not financial advice.
Below the channel · 9-month channel falling
Closed below support (US$12.23). Treat the buy level with caution.
- 9-month channel
- US$12.23 – US$16.02 · falling, −51% a year
- Price in channel
- −69% (0% = floor, 100% = ceiling)
- Ceiling overhead
- US$16.02
- Published levels
- Buy and target are not from this channel — see below.
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -77% from US$38.5813 Oct 2025 → 26 Oct 2026
- Whose problem it was
- This company0 of 4 Industrial Materials peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Unsettled too close to a coin toss on the record to call
- Regained so far
- 2%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 43% of 334 comparable falls came back, typically in 175 days measured across every stock we hold history for, its peer group being too small
Fell -77% (13 Oct 2025 → 26 Oct 2026); regained 2% so far; company-specific.
Reported at the time: China Hands Trump The Next 'America First' Stock—USA Rare Earth Soars On Export Curbs — 9 Oct 2025
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
Updated 8:59 AM ET (2 h ago)
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (9 months)
- Lower trend line (9 months)
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Suggested path
Buy at or below
US$9.63
level as at 1 Nov 2026
Our target
US$16.00
by 23 Jan 2027
Projected move
66.2%
gross, before costs
Price is at or below our buy.
Target: the projected upper line.
This move size: reached in 27% of 11 past stretches, typically in 83 days. (0.80% per day)
- Upper line touches
- 2
- Lower line touches
- 2
- Fit confidence
- 44%
- Fitted
- 1 Nov 2026
Company information
About USA Rare Earth Inc
USA Rare Earth Inc. specializes in the production of magnets. The company is actively developing an integrated facility that will manage the entire lifecycle of NdFeB magnet creation, from mineral sourcing and extraction to processing and final manufacturing. Within the United States, USA Rare Earth supplies its magnet products to a diverse range of sectors, including defense, automotive, aerospace, general industrial applications, healthcare, and consumer electronics.
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- Industry
- Industrial Materials
- CEO
- Thrasyvoulos Moraitis
- Employees
- 132
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own scores from the fundamentals below (not Morningstar ratings).
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$1.40B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 2.68
- Avg volume
- 12.98M
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 9.82-32.8
- Exchange
- NASDAQ
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted to past swing highs and lows and may not continue. Information only, not financial advice.