TYL Tyler Technologies, Inc.
Tyler Technologies, Inc. (TYL) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Technology. Listed on NYSE. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. If this ticker has no settled sample yet, treat the numbers as a geometric read, not a track record. Information only, not financial advice.
Broken out above, falling on both timeframes
Price has closed above the channel. The fitted trend may no longer describe this stock.
The next few months are read from the last 12 months, not the last 9 months: that channel fits this stock's recent turns at least as well (77% against 85%) and it is the one price is respecting now. The last 9 months stay as context: falling, −34% a year. Price is above both fitted ceilings, so there is no line overhead to break — and no fitted resistance to price the target against either. What would overturn this: a close below US$222.33 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 9 months
- US$234.42 – US$339.87 Falling channel, −34% a year
- 12 months read from
- US$222.33 – US$292.60 Falling channel, −47% a year
- Position in that channel
- 177% above the ceiling of it — 0% is the floor, 100% the ceiling
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -58% from US$647.7513 Feb 2025 → 22 June 2026
- Whose problem it was
- This company3 of 10 Services-Prepackaged Software peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Unsettled too close to a coin toss on the record to call
- Regained so far
- 16%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 53% of 13 comparable falls came back, typically in 113 days measured on its own peer group
The trend broke in February 2025: price fell 58% from 647.75 to 275.24 by June 2026, and has regained 16% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. The wire that week: “Tyler Technologies Q4 2024 Adj. EPS $2.43, Inline, Sales $541.100M Beat $540.458M Estimate”. What happens next is not settled: falls of about 58% here have come back to the old high 53% of the time (13 comparable falls), typically in 113 days, which is too close to a coin toss to price a recovery from.
Reported at the time: Tyler Technologies Q4 2024 Adj. EPS $2.43, Inline, Sales $541.100M Beat $540.458M Estimate — 12 Feb 2025
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (9 months)
- Lower trend line (9 months)
- The same lines over the last 12 months
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Our target
No published call today because its projected path only reaches 4.4% above the entry within 90 days, under the 6.0% floor a call has to clear to be worth making. No alerts are sent. The buy and target below are still this site's read of the fitted channel.
Buy at or below
US$233.12
level as at 17 Sept 2026
Our target
US$323.23
by 16 Dec 2026
Projected move
38.6%
gross, before costs
Price is at or through our target.
- Upper line touches
- 3
- Lower line touches
- 3
- Fit confidence
- 85%
- Fitted
- 11 Sept 2026
Company information
Fundamentals are not available for this instrument from the current data provider.
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.