TXN Texas Instruments Incorporated
Texas Instruments Incorporated (TXN) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Technology. Listed on NASDAQ. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. On this symbol, 10 comparable calls have settled; 80% reached the published sell target. Information only, not financial advice.
Mid-channel
Price is between the two trend lines. Nothing to act on yet.
Read from the last 18 months of history we hold: rising, drifting +47% a year. The target of US$335.20 sits above the nearest ceiling (US$272.40), so reaching it means breaking a line this stock has repeatedly turned at. What would overturn this: a close below US$215.84 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 18 months read from
- US$215.84 – US$272.40 Rising channel, +47% a year
- Position in that channel
- 79% 0% at the floor, 100% at the ceiling
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -23% from US$330.5822 June 2026 → 1 Sept 2026
- Whose problem it was
- Its sector20 of 23 Semiconductors peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Temporary falls like it have resolved on the record
- Regained so far
- 13%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 96% of 51 comparable falls came back, typically in 51 days measured on its own peer group
The trend broke in June 2026: price fell 23% from 330.58 to 253.32 by September 2026, and has regained 13% of that fall since. It was not this company alone: 20 of 23 Semiconductors peers fell as far within weeks of it, so the fall was the sector repricing rather than news about this business. The wire that week: “Stifel Maintains Buy on Texas Instruments, Raises Price Target to $360”. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 23% here have come back to the old high 96% of the time (51 comparable falls), typically in 51 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it. Priced from that: 335.20 within 104 days, reached 96% of the time in 51 comparable falls — about 0.26% a day held.
The buy and sell prices below are priced off this recovery rather than off the channel: it is the better expected return per day held once each is charged for the odds of working.
Reported at the time: Stifel Maintains Buy on Texas Instruments, Raises Price Target to $360 — 24 June 2026
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (18 months)
- Lower trend line (18 months)
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Suggested path
Buy now
US$260.54
last close · 16 Sept 2026
Channel buy is US$263.35; last close is the better price available now.
Our target
US$335.20
by 28 Dec 2026
Projected move
28.7%
gross, before costs
Last close is our buy — the best price available now.
The trend broke in June 2026: price fell 23% from 330.58 to 253.32 by September 2026, and has regained 13% of that fall since. It was not this company alone: 20 of 23 Semiconductors peers fell as far within weeks of it, so the fall was the sector repricing rather than news about this business. The wire that week: “Stifel Maintains Buy on Texas Instruments, Raises Price Target to $360”. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 23% here have come back to the old high 96% of the time (51 comparable falls), typically in 51 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it. Priced from that: 335.20 within 104 days, reached 96% of the time in 51 comparable falls — about 0.26% a day held. The entry is today's price, not a dip level: the fall is behind it and the evidence measured is what these recoveries paid from here, so waiting for a lower entry would be waiting for something the record does not say is coming. Of 51 comparable falls in Semiconductors, 96% were back at the old high within 51 days of the low, and the ones that got there gave up about 7% along the way — so expect to be underwater before it works. The target is the median level they regained, which is short of the old high of 330.58 because not all of them saw it again. It is a prediction and it is revised the same way any other is: if price loses its 50-day trend and stays below it, the recovery is treated as failed rather than delayed.
On this stock's own history these rules produced 10 settled calls, of which 8 reached target (80%), with an average best move of 6.3%. See the full record.
- Upper line touches
- 2
- Lower line touches
- 3
- Fit confidence
- 47%
- Fitted
- 15 Sept 2026
About Texas Instruments Incorporated
Texas Instruments Incorporated (TI) specializes in the global design, production, and sale of semiconductors to electronics engineers and manufacturers. Its operations are structured into two core segments: Analog and Embedded Processing. The Analog division provides a comprehensive suite of power management products, such as battery-management solutions, various DC/DC and AC/DC switching regulators and controllers, power switches, linear regulators, voltage supervisors, references, and lighting components, all critical for managing diverse power needs. This segment also delivers signal chain products designed to sense, condition, and measure electrical signals, facilitating information transfer or conversion for further processing and control, encompassing items like amplifiers, data converters, interface devices, motor drives, clocks, and sensing technologies. The Embedded Processing segment develops microcontrollers, integral to a wide array of electronic equipment; digital signal processors (DSPs) for complex mathematical computations; and applications processors tailored for specific computing tasks. Products from this segment are utilized across numerous markets, including industrial applications, the automotive sector, personal electronics, communication systems, enterprise solutions, and calculators. Beyond these, TI also produces DLP® products, primarily used in projectors to generate high-definition images; a range of calculators; and custom application-specific integrated circuits (ASICs). The company distributes its semiconductor offerings through a direct sales force, its network of authorized distributors, and its official website. Established in 1930, Texas Instruments is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Semiconductors
- CEO
- Haviv Ilan
- Employees
- 33,000
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
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- Profitability
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- Financial health
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- Cash generation
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Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$248.41B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 1.32
- Avg volume
- 8.44M
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 152.73-334.03
- Exchange
- NASDAQ
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
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- PEG
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- Price / sales
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- Price / book
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- EV / EBITDA
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- Gross margin
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- Operating margin
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- Net margin
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- Current ratio
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- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
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Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.