TMUS T-Mobile US, Inc.
T-Mobile US, Inc. (TMUS) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Communication Services. Listed on NASDAQ. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. If this ticker has no settled sample yet, treat the numbers as a geometric read, not a track record. Information only, not financial advice.
Broken out above
Price has closed above the channel. The fitted trend may no longer describe this stock.
Read from the last 9 months of history we hold: falling, drifting −17% a year. Price is above both fitted ceilings, so there is no line overhead to break — and no fitted resistance to price the target against either. What would overturn this: a close below US$148.62 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 9 months read from
- US$148.62 – US$166.16 Falling channel, −17% a year
- Position in that channel
- 157% above the ceiling of it — 0% is the floor, 100% the ceiling
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -37% from US$266.633 Mar 2025 → 30 June 2026
- Whose problem it was
- Its sector2 of 4 Telecommunications Services peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Temporary falls like it have resolved on the record
- Regained so far
- 13%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 63% of 6 comparable falls came back, typically in 35 days measured on its own peer group
The trend broke in March 2025: price fell 37% from 266.63 to 167.69 by June 2026, and has regained 13% of that fall since. It was not this company alone: 2 of 4 Telecommunications Services peers fell as far within weeks of it, so the fall was the sector repricing rather than news about this business. The wire that week: “Behind the Scenes of T-Mobile US's Latest Options Trends”. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 37% here have come back to the old high 63% of the time (6 comparable falls), typically in 35 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it. Priced from that: 276.26 within 589 days, reached 63% of the time in 6 comparable falls — about 0.09% a day held.
Reported at the time: Behind the Scenes of T-Mobile US's Latest Options Trends — 26 Feb 2025
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (9 months)
- Lower trend line (9 months)
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Our target
No published call today because price has closed 8.4% clear above the channel, so the fitted lines no longer describe where it is. No alerts are sent. The buy and target below are still this site's read of the fitted channel.
Buy at or below
US$146.15
level as at 17 Sept 2026
Our target
US$148.56
by 16 Dec 2026
Projected move
1.6%
gross, before costs
Price is at or through our target.
- Upper line touches
- 3
- Lower line touches
- 3
- Fit confidence
- 67%
- Fitted
- 16 Sept 2026
About T-Mobile US, Inc.
T-Mobile US, Inc., alongside its subsidiaries, offers mobile telecommunications services across the United States, Puerto Rico, and the U.S. Virgin Islands. Catering to approximately 108.7 million subscribers, the company delivers essential voice, messaging, and data connectivity to customers in postpaid, prepaid, and wholesale segments. Beyond services, T-Mobile also supplies a broad array of wireless devices, such as smartphones, wearables, tablets, and other mobile communication gadgets, along with associated accessories. These offerings are marketed under both the T-Mobile and Metro by T-Mobile brands. Direct distribution occurs through its proprietary retail stores, the T-Mobile mobile application, customer service channels, and its official online platforms. Additionally, the company provides devices to independent dealers and other distributors for resale via external retail locations and various third-party websites. As of December 31, 2021, its robust network infrastructure encompassed approximately 102,000 macro cell sites and 41,000 small cell/distributed antenna system locations. T-Mobile US, Inc. was established in 1994 and maintains its headquarters in Bellevue, Washington.
- Sector
- Communication Services
- Industry
- Telecommunications Services
- CEO
- Srinivasan Gopalan
- Employees
- 75,000
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$195.58B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 0.33
- Avg volume
- 4.97M
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 165.66-244.24
- Exchange
- NASDAQ
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.