TJX The TJX Companies, Inc.
The TJX Companies, Inc. (TJX) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Consumer Cyclical. Listed on NYSE. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. If this ticker has no settled sample yet, treat the numbers as a geometric read, not a track record. Information only, not financial advice.
Broken down below
Price has closed below the channel. Support has failed — treat the buy target with caution.
Read from the last 2 years of history we hold: rising, drifting +26% a year. The target of US$155.27 is below the nearest ceiling (US$183.28), so it does not depend on a breakout. What would overturn this: a close below US$153.21 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 2 years read from
- US$153.21 – US$183.28 Rising channel, +26% a year
- Position in that channel
- -101% below the floor of it — 0% is the floor, 100% the ceiling
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (2 years)
- Lower trend line (2 years)
- The same lines over the last 12 months
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Suggested path
Buy now
US$122.86
last close · 16 Sept 2026
Channel buy is US$146.48; last close is the better price available now.
Our target
US$155.27
by 12 Oct 2026
Projected move
26.4%
gross, before costs
Last close is our buy — the best price available now.
The lines are drawn where this stock has actually turned: 12 touches on the ceiling, 6 on the floor, each fitted to the slope that catches the most of them. Buying one average daily range below its 50-day mean, on heavier volume than usual and while it is still above its 200-day mean, has come up 791 times; measured against the rule’s own 6% yardstick, 73% reached it, typically in 34 days, with price going about 5% against the entry along the way (63% in the worst case we have on record). Trades that have not reached the target within 3 months are counted as misses, whatever they are worth at the time. The prices above are this stock’s own — its average, its volatility — but the setup is the same one we apply everywhere: derived on eight unrelated tickers, then confirmed on 87 others it was never fitted to. We deliberately do not tune it to each stock: doing so scores worse on history the tuning never saw — 58% against 71% — because it fits the past rather than the future. On this stock the setup has come up 3 times so far, reaching target 100% of the time — too few to mean much on its own. This stock has not been through the setup often enough for a sell target of its own, so the rule’s is published. It is still revised down if price loses its 50-day trend and stays below it, which is where these runs have historically ended.
- Upper line touches
- 12
- Lower line touches
- 6
- Fit confidence
- 67%
- Fitted
- 8 Sept 2026
About The TJX Companies, Inc.
The TJX Companies, Inc., alongside its various associated businesses, functions as a major discount retailer focusing on clothing and household decor. Its operations are organized into four primary divisions: Marmaxx, HomeGoods, TJX Canada, and TJX International. The enterprise markets an extensive selection of goods, including clothing for all family members (such as shoes and complementary items); a broad array of home furnishings and accessories (ranging from essential household goods, furniture, floor coverings, and lighting fixtures to gift items, soft textiles, decorative pieces, dining wares, and kitchen utensils), alongside growing departments for pet supplies, children's products, and gourmet foodstuffs. Jewelry, additional accessories, and various general merchandise are also available. By the close of February 23, 2022, TJX maintained a considerable retail network across several continents. In the United States, this footprint included 1,284 T.J. Maxx, 1,148 Marshalls, 850 HomeGoods, 59 Sierra, and 39 Homesense physical stores, complemented by online portals like tjmaxx.com, marshalls.com, and sierra.com. Its Canadian presence featured 293 Winners, 147 HomeSense, and 106 Marshalls outlets. European consumers could visit 618 T.K. Maxx and 77 Homesense locations, with an e-commerce option at tkmaxx.com. Furthermore, Australia hosted 68 T.K. Maxx establishments. Established in 1962, the firm's corporate headquarters are located in Framingham, Massachusetts.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Apparel - Retail
- CEO
- Ernie L. Herrman
- Employees
- 377,000
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$137.69B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 0.59
- Avg volume
- 6.43M
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 123.84-170
- Exchange
- NYSE
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.