TEM Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Common Stock
Tempus AI, Inc. Class A Common Stock (TEM) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Technology. Listed on NASDAQ. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. If this ticker has no settled sample yet, treat the numbers as a geometric read, not a track record. Information only, not financial advice.
In the sell zone, falling on both timeframes
Price has run up to the upper trend line — the level it has repeatedly stalled at.
Read from the last 12 months of history we hold: falling, drifting −46% a year. The nearest ceiling overhead is US$72.33. What would overturn this: a close below US$35.72 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 12 months read from
- US$35.68 – US$72.33 Falling channel, −46% a year
- Position in that channel
- 93% 0% at the floor, 100% at the ceiling
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -60% from US$103.178 Oct 2025 → 29 July 2026
- Whose problem it was
- This company1 of 2 Services-Computer Programming, Data Processing, Etc. peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Unsettled too close to a coin toss on the record to call
- Regained so far
- 34%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 50% of 4 comparable falls came back, typically in 108 days measured on its own peer group
The trend broke in October 2025: price fell 60% from 103.17 to 41.59 by July 2026, and has regained 34% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. The wire that week: “Nancy Pelosi's Tempus Play Might Be Smartest Trade In Washington — Stock Surges 200%”. What happens next is not settled: falls of about 60% here have come back to the old high 50% of the time (4 comparable falls), typically in 108 days, which is too close to a coin toss to price a recovery from.
Reported at the time: Nancy Pelosi's Tempus Play Might Be Smartest Trade In Washington — Stock Surges 200% — 8 Oct 2025
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (12 months)
- Lower trend line (12 months)
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Our target
No published call today because the entry we trade has not come up here often enough to have a record. No alerts are sent. The buy and target below are still this site's read of the fitted channel.
Buy at or below
US$35.63
level as at 17 Sept 2026
Our target
US$70.21
by 16 Dec 2026
Projected move
97.0%
gross, before costs
Price sits between our buy level and our target.
- Upper line touches
- 2
- Lower line touches
- 3
- Fit confidence
- 55%
- Fitted
- 15 Sept 2026
Company information
Fundamentals are not available for this instrument from the current data provider.
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.