STM STMicroelectronics N.V.

Suggested path

Price sits between our buy level and our target.

The trend broke in June 2026: price fell 40% from 79.80 to 47.78 by September 2026, and has regained 0% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. The wire that week: “Here's How Much $100 Invested In STMicroelectronics 15 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today”. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 40% here have come back to the old high 83% of the time (63 comparable falls), typically in 80 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it. Priced from that: 81.06 within 78 days, reached 83% of the time in 63 comparable falls — about 0.89% a day held. The entry is today's price, not a dip level: the fall is behind it and the evidence measured is what these recoveries paid from here, so waiting for a lower entry would be waiting for something the record does not say is coming. Of 63 comparable falls in Semiconductors, 83% were back at the old high within 80 days of the low, and the ones that got there gave up about 15% along the way — so expect to be underwater before it works. The target is the median level they regained, which is short of the old high of 79.80 because not all of them saw it again. It is a prediction and it is revised the same way any other is: if price loses its 50-day trend and stays below it, the recovery is treated as failed rather than delayed.

Upper line touches

3

Lower line touches

2

Fit confidence

47%

Fitted

15 Sept 2026