SPMO Invesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF
Invesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF (SPMO) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Financial Services. Listed on ARCA. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. If this ticker has no settled sample yet, treat the numbers as a geometric read, not a track record. Information only, not financial advice.
Mid-channel
Price is between the two trend lines. Nothing to act on yet.
Read from the last 18 months of history we hold: rising, drifting +34% a year. The target of US$163.54 sits above the nearest ceiling (US$159.96), so reaching it means breaking a line this stock has repeatedly turned at. What would overturn this: a close below US$102.89 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 18 months read from
- US$102.89 – US$159.96 Rising channel, +34% a year
- Position in that channel
- 71% 0% at the floor, 100% at the ceiling
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (18 months)
- Lower trend line (18 months)
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Suggested path
Buy now
US$143.65
last close · 16 Sept 2026
Channel buy is US$146.02; last close is the better price available now.
Our target
US$163.54
by 12 Nov 2026
Projected move
13.8%
gross, before costs
Last close is our buy — the best price available now.
The lines are drawn where this stock has actually turned: 4 touches on the ceiling, 3 on the floor, each fitted to the slope that catches the most of them. Buying one average daily range below its 50-day mean, on heavier volume than usual and while it is still above its 200-day mean, has come up 791 times; measured against the 6% floor — the least a call has to be worth to be worth making, not what it aims at — 73% cleared it, typically in 34 days, with price going about 5% against the entry along the way (63% in the worst case we have on record). Trades that have not reached the target within 3 months are counted as misses, whatever they are worth at the time. The prices above are this stock’s own — its average, its volatility — but the setup is the same one we apply everywhere: derived on eight unrelated tickers, then confirmed on 87 others it was never fitted to. We deliberately do not tune it to each stock: doing so scores worse on history the tuning never saw — 58% against 71% — because it fits the past rather than the future. On this stock the setup has come up 6 times so far, reaching target 67% of the time — too few to mean much on its own. The sell price comes from where this stock is projected to be, not from a minimum worth taking: the fitted path reaches 13% above the entry within 90 days, and of the sizes that path supports, 12% is the one that has returned the most per day of money tied up here — measured over the 8 times this entry has come up on this chart, reached 75% of the time, typically in 55 days. Smaller sizes got there sooner but paid less for the weeks they used; larger ones need a break above the projected ceiling, which is not the base case. The date published is whichever is later: that typical time, or the day the projected path itself reaches the price. It is a prediction, so it can be revised: if the run tops out before it gets there, the target is cut to what is actually on the table and you are told the same day. An ordinary pullback is not treated as topping out — those go on to make a new high about 8 times in 10, so they are ridden through. What triggers the revision is price closing below its 50-day trend and staying there, after which the odds of recovery fall to roughly 3 in 10.
- Upper line touches
- 4
- Lower line touches
- 3
- Fit confidence
- 34%
- Fitted
- 15 Sept 2026
About Invesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF
The Invesco S&P 500 Momentum ETF (SPMO) is designed to mirror the investment performance of the S&P 500 Momentum Index. The Fund typically allocates at least 90% of its total assets to the securities that constitute this underlying Index. The S&P 500 Momentum Index itself is composed of stocks from the broader S&P 500 Index that exhibit strong "momentum scores," reflecting their recent performance trends. Both the ETF and its benchmark index undergo semi-annual reconstitution and rebalancing, which takes place on the third Fridays of March and September each year. The weighting of individual constituents within the Index is determined by a combination of their market capitalization and their assigned momentum score. As of August 31, 2025, SPMO proudly holds an overall 5-star rating from Morningstar, positioning it in the top tier among 1252 comparable funds. It also earned a 5-star rating for both the 3-year period (out of 1252 funds) and the 5-year period (out of 1149 funds), with 10-year data not yet available. Morningstar's ratings are calculated using a risk-adjusted return methodology, which scrutinizes monthly performance variations, emphasizing downside risk and rewarding consistent returns. For fair comparison, open-end mutual funds and exchange-traded funds are evaluated together as a single group. To qualify for a rating, a fund must possess at least three years of operational history. The overall rating is derived from a weighted average of the 3-, 5-, and 10-year rating metrics where applicable, after accounting for fees and expenses but excluding any sales charges. Important Disclaimers: This information, proprietary to Morningstar Inc. (©2025), is not guaranteed for accuracy, completeness, or timeliness and must not be copied or distributed. Neither Morningstar nor its content providers are liable for any damages resulting from its use. Investors should remember that past performance does not indicate future results. Star ratings are assigned monthly based on percentile rank within a category: the top 10% receive five stars, the subsequent 22.5% receive four stars, and so forth. Please note that if fee waivers or expense reimbursements had not been in place, the Morningstar rating might have been lower. Ratings for other share classes of the fund may vary due to differing performance characteristics.
- Sector
- Financial Services
- Industry
- Asset Management - Global
- Country
- US
https://www.invesco.com/us/en/financial-products/etfs/invesco-sp-500-momentum-etf.html
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$15.56B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 1.28
- Avg volume
- 2.16M
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 107.24-162.3
- Exchange
- AMEX
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.