SMCI Super Micro Computer, Inc. Common Stock
Super Micro Computer, Inc. Common Stock (SMCI) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Technology. Listed on NASDAQ. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. If this ticker has no settled sample yet, treat the numbers as a geometric read, not a track record. Information only, not financial advice.
In the sell zone, falling this year inside a rising 0.742539455320903-year channel
Price has run up to the upper trend line — the level it has repeatedly stalled at.
The next few months are read from the last 12 months, not the last 9 months: that channel fits this stock's recent turns at least as well (60% against 57%) and it is the one price is respecting now. The last 9 months stay as context: rising, +20% a year. A stock can be falling inside a channel that still rises over years; that is what this is, and only one of the two can be the near-term expectation. The nearest ceiling overhead is US$38.55, from the last 9 months. What would overturn this: a close below US$22.09 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 9 months read from
- US$22.08 – US$38.55 Rising channel, +20% a year
- Position in that channel
- 89% 0% at the floor, 100% at the ceiling
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (9 months)
- Lower trend line (9 months)
- The same lines over the last 12 months
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Our target
No published call today because price has already run past what this setup aims at, so there is nothing left of the move to buy. No alerts are sent. The buy and target below are still this site's read of the fitted channel.
Buy at or below
US$22.07
level as at 17 Sept 2026
Our target
US$30.22
by 16 Dec 2026
Projected move
36.9%
gross, before costs
Price is at or through our target.
- Upper line touches
- 2
- Lower line touches
- 3
- Fit confidence
- 57%
- Fitted
- 16 Sept 2026
Company information
Fundamentals are not available for this instrument from the current data provider.
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.