SHLD Global X Defense Tech ETF

Suggested path

The lines are drawn where this stock has actually turned: 6 touches on the ceiling, 9 on the floor, each fitted to the slope that catches the most of them. Buying one average daily range below its 50-day mean, on heavier volume than usual and while it is still above its 200-day mean, has come up 791 times; measured against the rule’s own 6% yardstick, 73% reached it, typically in 34 days, with price going about 5% against the entry along the way (63% in the worst case we have on record). Trades that have not reached the target within 3 months are counted as misses, whatever they are worth at the time. The prices above are this stock’s own — its average, its volatility — but the setup is the same one we apply everywhere: derived on eight unrelated tickers, then confirmed on 87 others it was never fitted to. We deliberately do not tune it to each stock: doing so scores worse on history the tuning never saw — 58% against 71% — because it fits the past rather than the future. On this stock the setup has come up 3 times so far, reaching target 67% of the time — too few to mean much on its own. This stock has not been through the setup often enough for a sell target of its own, so the rule’s is published. It is still revised down if price loses its 50-day trend and stays below it, which is where these runs have historically ended.

Upper line touches

6

Lower line touches

9

Fit confidence

62%

Fitted

4 Aug 2026