SBUX Starbucks Corporation
Starbucks Corporation (SBUX) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Consumer Cyclical. Listed on NASDAQ. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. On this symbol, 7 comparable calls have settled; 42.9% reached the published sell target. Information only, not financial advice.
Broken down below, rising on both timeframes
Price has closed below the channel. Support has failed — treat the buy target with caution.
Read from the last 12 months of history we hold: rising, drifting +35% a year. The nearest ceiling overhead is US$111.37. What would overturn this: a close below US$105.77 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 12 months read from
- US$105.84 – US$111.40 Rising channel, +35% a year
- Position in that channel
- -150% below the floor of it — 0% is the floor, 100% the ceiling
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (12 months)
- Lower trend line (12 months)
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Our target
No published call today because price has broken 8.7% below the channel floor, which is a fall out of the trend rather than a dip within it. No alerts are sent. The buy and target below are still this site's read of the fitted channel.
Buy now
US$97.36
last close · 16 Sept 2026
Channel buy is US$105.88; last close is the better price available now.
Our target
US$114.65
by 16 Dec 2026
Projected move
17.8%
gross, before costs
Last close is our buy — the best price available now.
On this stock's own history these rules produced 7 settled calls, of which 3 reached target (42.9%), with an average best move of 8.3%. See the full record.
- Upper line touches
- 4
- Lower line touches
- 7
- Fit confidence
- 66%
- Fitted
- 16 Sept 2026
About Starbucks Corporation
Starbucks Corporation, along with its various subsidiaries, operates worldwide as a key player in roasting, marketing, and selling specialty coffee. Its business is structured into three main operating divisions: North America, International markets, and Channel Development. The company's retail outlets offer a broad assortment of coffee and tea beverages, roasted whole bean and ground coffees, single-serve options, and ready-to-drink products. Customers can also find a variety of food items, including pastries, breakfast sandwiches, and lunch selections. Furthermore, Starbucks extends its brand reach by licensing its trademarks to independently operated stores, grocery retailers, and foodservice accounts. Products are sold under well-known labels such as Starbucks, Teavana, Seattle's Best Coffee, Evolution Fresh, Ethos, Starbucks Reserve, and Princi. As of October 3, 2021, Starbucks had a significant global presence, operating 16,826 company-owned and licensed stores across North America, in addition to 17,007 similar locations internationally. The company, established in 1971, is headquartered in Seattle, Washington.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Restaurants
- CEO
- Brian R. Niccol
- Employees
- 381,000
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- 42/100
- Profitability
- 16/100
- Financial health
- 46/100
- Cash generation
- 34/100
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$120.36B
- Enterprise value
- US$139.35B
- Beta
- 0.97
- Avg volume
- 9.21M
- Revenue per share
- 33.51
- Dividend yield
- 2.34%
- 52-week range
- 77.99-109.23
- Exchange
- NASDAQ
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- 60.68
- PEG
- -2.43
- Price / sales
- 3.14
- Price / book
- -15.74
- EV / EBITDA
- 23.73
- Gross margin
- 31.75%
- Operating margin
- 9.43%
- Net margin
- 5.17%
- Current ratio
- 0.76
- Quick ratio
- 0.54
- Debt / equity
- -2.92
- Interest cover
- 6.21
Income statement
| Year | Revenue | Gross profit | Operating income | Net income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$37.18B | US$8.98B | US$3.58B | US$1.86B | US$1.63 |
| 2024 | US$36.18B | US$9.71B | US$5.41B | US$3.76B | US$3.31 |
| 2023 | US$35.98B | US$9.85B | US$5.87B | US$4.12B | US$3.58 |
| 2022 | US$32.25B | US$8.37B | US$4.62B | US$3.28B | US$2.83 |
| 2021 | US$29.06B | US$8.39B | US$4.87B | US$4.20B | US$3.54 |
Balance sheet
| Year | Total assets | Total liabilities | Total equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$32.02B | US$40.11B | -US$8.10B |
| 2024 | US$31.34B | US$38.78B | -US$7.45B |
| 2023 | US$29.45B | US$37.43B | -US$7.99B |
| 2022 | US$27.98B | US$36.68B | -US$8.71B |
| 2021 | US$31.39B | US$36.71B | -US$5.32B |
Cash flow
| Year | Operating cash flow | Free cash flow | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$4.75B | US$2.44B | US$1.86B |
| 2024 | US$6.10B | US$3.32B | US$3.76B |
| 2023 | US$6.01B | US$3.68B | US$4.12B |
| 2022 | US$4.40B | US$2.56B | US$3.28B |
| 2021 | US$5.99B | US$4.52B | US$4.20B |
EPS forecasts
| Period | Est. EPS | Est. revenue | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$2.15 | US$36.95B | 23 |
| 2026 | US$2.58 | US$37.92B | 16 |
| 2027 | US$3.14 | US$38.53B | 20 |
| 2028 | US$3.73 | US$40.56B | 11 |
| 2029 | US$4.37 | US$43.43B | 7 |
| 2030 | US$5.07 | US$46.06B | 8 |
Analyst view
- Target (mean)
- US$115.15
- Target (high)
- US$130.00
- Target (low)
- US$97.00
- Strong buy
- 0
- Buy
- 28
- Hold
- 28
- Sell
- 3
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.