RRX Regal Rexnord Corporation
Regal Rexnord Corporation (RRX) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Industrials. Listed on NYSE. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. If this ticker has no settled sample yet, treat the numbers as a geometric read, not a track record. Information only, not financial advice.
Broken down below (provisional)
Price has closed below the channel. Support has failed — treat the buy target with caution.
Read from the last 9 months of history we hold: rising, drifting +9% a year. The target of US$241.07 is below the nearest ceiling (US$245.82), so it does not depend on a breakout. What would overturn this: a close below US$226.99 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 9 months read from
- US$226.99 – US$245.82 Rising channel, +9% a year
- Position in that channel
- -412% below the floor of it — 0% is the floor, 100% the ceiling
Provisional: fitted to a short history, so treat the lines as a first read rather than a projection. No trade is suggested and alerts stay off until there is more data.
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -38% from US$238.1730 June 2026 → 16 Sept 2026
- Whose problem it was
- This company2 of 5 Industrial - Machinery peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Temporary falls like it have resolved on the record
- Regained so far
- 0%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 73% of 9 comparable falls came back, typically in 89 days measured on its own peer group
The trend broke in June 2026: price fell 38% from 238.17 to 148.17 by September 2026, and has regained 0% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. The wire that week: “Watching Regal Rexnord; Kerrisdale Capital Issues Report On Co Titled "Data Centers. Robotics. AI. Oh My!" Stating It Holds A Long Position”. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 38% here have come back to the old high 73% of the time (9 comparable falls), typically in 89 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it. Priced from that: 241.07 within 88 days, reached 73% of the time in 9 comparable falls — about 0.71% a day held.
The buy and sell prices below are priced off this recovery rather than off the channel: it is the better expected return per day held once each is charged for the odds of working.
Reported at the time: Watching Regal Rexnord; Kerrisdale Capital Issues Report On Co Titled "Data Centers. Robotics. AI. Oh My!" Stating It Holds A Long Position — 30 June 2026
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (9 months)
- Lower trend line (9 months)
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Our target
The lines above are fitted to a short history, which is not a base we will project a published call from. The buy and target below are still this site's read of those lines.
Buy at or below
US$148.17
level as at 16 Sept 2026
Our target
US$241.07
by 13 Dec 2026
Projected move
62.7%
gross, before costs
Price sits between our buy level and our target.
- Upper line touches
- 4
- Lower line touches
- 4
- Fit confidence
- 29%
- Fitted
- 16 Sept 2026
About Regal Rexnord Corporation
Regal Rexnord Corporation, formerly known as Regal Beloit Corporation, is a global enterprise that designs, manufactures, and distributes a comprehensive range of industrial products. Its offerings include industrial powertrain solutions, mechanical power transmission components, electric motors paired with electronic controls, air movement technologies, and specialized electrical components and integrated systems for customers worldwide. The company is structured into four primary operating segments: Commercial Systems: This unit supplies AC and DC motors, electronic variable speed controls, various fans and blowers, and high-precision stator and rotor kits. Industrial Systems: Focuses on AC motors designed for industrial applications. It also produces electric alternators vital for prime and standby power across diverse markets such as data centers, distributed energy grids, microgrids, marine rentals, agriculture, healthcare, mobile equipment, and defense. Additionally, this segment provides switchgear for healthcare facilities, governmental entities, wastewater treatment, and a broad spectrum of residential, commercial, and industrial settings. Climate Solutions: Delivers fractional horsepower motors, electronic variable speed controls, and blowers primarily for residential and light commercial air handling systems. Its products are also incorporated into white goods, water heaters, small pumps, compressors, and various fan applications. Motion Control Solutions: Offers an extensive portfolio comprising bearings, conveyor systems, multiple coupling types (including disc, gear, grid, elastomeric, and torsionally soft), mechanical power transmission drives, and related components. This segment also manufactures a wide array of gearing products such as worm, shaft configuration, helical, bevel, helical bevel, hypoid, and spur gears, along with aerospace components. Key industries served by this segment include beverage, bulk material handling, metals, specialized machinery, energy, aerospace, and general industrial sectors. Regal Rexnord distributes its products globally, engaging directly with original equipment manufacturers and end-users, and leveraging a comprehensive network of both internal and independent sales representatives and distributors. The company, founded in 1955, maintains its corporate headquarters in Beloit, Wisconsin.
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Industrial - Machinery
- CEO
- Aamir Paul
- Employees
- 28,950
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$9.93B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 1.04
- Avg volume
- 1.18M
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 127.96-247.8
- Exchange
- NYSE
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.