RBLX Roblox Corporation
Roblox Corporation (RBLX) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Technology. Listed on NYSE. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. On this symbol, 5 comparable calls have settled; 100% reached the published sell target. Information only, not financial advice.
In the sell zone, falling on both timeframes
Price has run up to the upper trend line — the level it has repeatedly stalled at.
Read from the last 12 months of history we hold: falling, drifting −72% a year. Price is above both fitted ceilings, so there is no line overhead to break — and no fitted resistance to price the target against either. What would overturn this: a close below US$28.72 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 12 months read from
- US$28.66 – US$47.38 Falling channel, −72% a year
- Position in that channel
- 102% above the ceiling of it — 0% is the floor, 100% the ceiling
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -75% from US$141.5729 Sept 2025 → 12 Aug 2026
- Whose problem it was
- This company0 of 1 Electronic Gaming & Multimedia peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Unsettled too close to a coin toss on the record to call
- Regained so far
- 11%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 44% of 331 comparable falls came back, typically in 177 days measured across every stock we hold history for, its peer group being too small
The trend broke in September 2025: price fell 75% from 141.57 to 35.57 by August 2026, and has regained 11% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. The wire that week: “Piper Sandler Maintains Overweight on Roblox, Raises Price Target to $180”. What happens next is not settled: falls of about 75% here have come back to the old high 44% of the time (331 comparable falls), typically in 177 days, which is too close to a coin toss to price a recovery from.
Reported at the time: Piper Sandler Maintains Overweight on Roblox, Raises Price Target to $180 — 24 Sept 2025
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (12 months)
- Lower trend line (12 months)
- The same lines over the last 12 months
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Our target
No published call today because its projected path only reaches 0.0% above the entry within 90 days, under the 6.0% floor a call has to clear to be worth making. No alerts are sent. The buy and target below are still this site's read of the fitted channel.
Buy at or below
US$28.62
level as at 19 Sept 2026
Our target
US$37.37
by 18 Dec 2026
Projected move
30.6%
gross, before costs
Price is at or through our target.
On this stock's own history these rules produced 5 settled calls, of which 5 reached target (100%), with an average best move of 14%. See the full record.
- Upper line touches
- 3
- Lower line touches
- 4
- Fit confidence
- 77%
- Fitted
- 18 Sept 2026
About Roblox Corporation
Roblox Corporation oversees the development and operation of a leading digital entertainment ecosystem. Its offerings include Roblox Studio, a complimentary suite of tools empowering developers and artists to construct, launch, and manage interactive 3D environments and various other forms of content. Through the Roblox Client application, users can navigate and immerse themselves in these digital 3D realms. The platform also features Roblox Education, specifically designed for educational pursuits. Furthermore, Roblox Cloud furnishes the fundamental services and infrastructure necessary to support its unique human co-experience platform. With a vast customer base, the company caters to users across the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, numerous European nations, China, the Asia-Pacific region, and other global markets. Incorporated in 2004, its primary corporate operations are based in San Mateo, California.
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Electronic Gaming & Multimedia
- CEO
- David Baszucki
- Employees
- 3,065
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- 67/100
- Profitability
- 0/100
- Financial health
- 1/100
- Cash generation
- 82/100
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$25.87B
- Enterprise value
- US$26.72B
- Beta
- 1.46
- Avg volume
- 11.97M
- Revenue per share
- 7.93
- Dividend yield
- 0.00%
- 52-week range
- 33.88-142
- Exchange
- NYSE
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- -25.33
- PEG
- 15.48
- Price / sales
- 4.55
- Price / book
- 170.80
- EV / EBITDA
- -34.06
- Gross margin
- 78.94%
- Operating margin
- -20.72%
- Net margin
- -17.60%
- Current ratio
- 0.82
- Quick ratio
- 0.82
- Debt / equity
- 12.08
- Interest cover
- -29.42
Income statement
| Year | Revenue | Gross profit | Operating income | Net income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$4.89B | US$3.82B | -US$1.23B | -US$1.07B | -US$1.54 |
| 2024 | US$3.60B | US$2.80B | -US$1.06B | -US$935.38M | -US$1.44 |
| 2023 | US$2.80B | US$2.15B | -US$1.26B | -US$1.15B | -US$1.87 |
| 2022 | US$2.23B | US$1.68B | -US$923.78M | -US$924.37M | -US$1.55 |
| 2021 | US$1.92B | US$1.42B | -US$495.10M | -US$491.65M | -US$0.97 |
Balance sheet
| Year | Total assets | Total liabilities | Total equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$9.56B | US$9.18B | US$394.48M |
| 2024 | US$7.18B | US$6.97B | US$221.45M |
| 2023 | US$6.17B | US$6.10B | US$76.29M |
| 2022 | US$5.38B | US$5.07B | US$306.03M |
| 2021 | US$4.56B | US$3.97B | US$584.82M |
Cash flow
| Year | Operating cash flow | Free cash flow | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$1.80B | US$1.35B | -US$1.07B |
| 2024 | US$822.32M | US$641.30M | -US$940.61M |
| 2023 | US$458.18M | US$124.01M | -US$1.16B |
| 2022 | US$369.30M | -US$58.37M | -US$934.14M |
| 2021 | US$659.11M | US$557.98M | -US$503.48M |
EPS forecasts
| Period | Est. EPS | Est. revenue | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | -US$1.55 | US$6.62B | 17 |
| 2026 | -US$1.45 | US$7.16B | 15 |
| 2027 | -US$1.15 | US$8.21B | 19 |
| 2028 | -US$0.9314 | US$9.68B | 15 |
| 2029 | -US$0.4179 | US$12.23B | 9 |
| 2030 | US$0.2600 | US$13.69B | 6 |
Analyst view
- Target (mean)
- US$49.47
- Target (high)
- US$95.00
- Target (low)
- US$30.00
- Strong buy
- 0
- Buy
- 16
- Hold
- 18
- Sell
- 3
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.