PLTR Palantir Technologies Inc.
Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Technology. Listed on NASDAQ. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. On this symbol, 3 comparable calls have settled; 100% reached the published sell target. Information only, not financial advice.
Mid-channel, falling on both timeframes
Price is between the two trend lines. Nothing to act on yet.
The next few months are read from the last 9 months, the stretch whose swings the lines actually follow, because the last 12 months alone do not contain enough turns to fit reliably (34% against 78%). The last 12 months stay as context: falling, −31% a year. The target of US$210.15 sits above the nearest ceiling (US$191.88, from the last 9 months), so reaching it means breaking a line this stock has repeatedly turned at. What would overturn this: a close below US$115.45 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 9 months read from
- US$115.45 – US$191.88 Falling channel, −21% a year
- 12 months
- US$112.73 – US$144.93 Falling channel, −31% a year
- Position in that channel
- 77% 0% at the floor, 100% at the ceiling
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -48% from US$207.393 Nov 2025 → 25 June 2026
- Whose problem it was
- This company4 of 12 Software - Infrastructure peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Temporary falls like it have resolved on the record
- Regained so far
- 65%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 94% of 14 comparable falls came back, typically in 198 days measured on its own peer group
The trend broke in November 2025: price fell 48% from 207.39 to 107.30 by June 2026, and has regained 65% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. The wire that week: “Palantir Could Be Nvidia's Fastest Route To $500 Billion In AI Software — Cathie Wood Saw It Coming”. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 48% here have come back to the old high 94% of the time (14 comparable falls), typically in 198 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it. Priced from that: 210.15 within 115 days, reached 94% of the time in 14 comparable falls — about 0.19% a day held.
The buy and sell prices below are priced off this recovery rather than off the channel: it is the better expected return per day held once each is charged for the odds of working.
Reported at the time: Palantir Could Be Nvidia's Fastest Route To $500 Billion In AI Software — Cathie Wood Saw It Coming — 29 Oct 2025
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (9 months)
- Lower trend line (9 months)
- The same lines over the last 12 months
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Suggested path
Buy at or below
US$172.61
level as at 16 Sept 2026
Our target
US$210.15
by 9 Jan 2027
Projected move
21.8%
gross, before costs
Price sits between our buy level and our target.
The trend broke in November 2025: price fell 48% from 207.39 to 107.30 by June 2026, and has regained 65% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. The wire that week: “Palantir Could Be Nvidia's Fastest Route To $500 Billion In AI Software — Cathie Wood Saw It Coming”. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 48% here have come back to the old high 94% of the time (14 comparable falls), typically in 198 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it. Priced from that: 210.15 within 115 days, reached 94% of the time in 14 comparable falls — about 0.19% a day held. The entry is today's price, not a dip level: the fall is behind it and the evidence measured is what these recoveries paid from here, so waiting for a lower entry would be waiting for something the record does not say is coming. Of 14 comparable falls in Software - Infrastructure, 94% were back at the old high within 198 days of the low, and the ones that got there gave up about 15% along the way — so expect to be underwater before it works. The target is the median level they regained, which is short of the old high of 207.39 because not all of them saw it again. It is a prediction and it is revised the same way any other is: if price loses its 50-day trend and stays below it, the recovery is treated as failed rather than delayed.
On this stock's own history these rules produced 3 settled calls, of which 3 reached target (100%), with an average best move of 12.2%. See the full record.
- Upper line touches
- 3
- Lower line touches
- 3
- Fit confidence
- 78%
- Fitted
- 16 Sept 2026
About Palantir Technologies Inc.
Palantir Technologies Inc. engineers and deploys advanced software platforms primarily for the intelligence community, supporting counterterrorism investigations and operations across the United States, the United Kingdom, and internationally. One such product is Palantir Gotham, a sophisticated software system that enables users to uncover hidden patterns within diverse datasets, from signals intelligence to confidential informant reports. Gotham also facilitates the seamless handover between analysts and operational personnel, helping operators strategize and execute real-world responses to threats pinpointed within the platform. The company also offers Palantir Foundry, a platform that revolutionizes organizational operations by providing a central data operating system, allowing individual users to integrate and analyze their essential data in one cohesive environment. Additionally, Palantir provides Apollo, a software solution for delivering applications and updates across an enterprise, enabling clients to deploy their software in virtually any setting. Its Palantir Artificial Intelligence Platform (AIP) offers unified access to open-source, self-hosted, and commercial large language models (LLMs). AIP excels at transforming both structured and unstructured data into LLM-understandable objects, converting an organization's actions and processes into practical tools for human operators and LLM-driven agents alike. Founded in 2003, Palantir Technologies Inc. maintains its headquarters in Denver, Colorado.
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Software - Infrastructure
- CEO
- Alexander C. Karp
- Employees
- 4,401
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- 0/100
- Profitability
- 100/100
- Financial health
- 66/100
- Cash generation
- 54/100
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$396.21B
- Enterprise value
- US$394.39B
- Beta
- 1.62
- Avg volume
- 40.13M
- Revenue per share
- 2.57
- Dividend yield
- 0.00%
- 52-week range
- 106.37-207.52
- Exchange
- NASDAQ
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- 136.95
- PEG
- 0.49
- Price / sales
- 64.36
- Price / book
- 42.32
- EV / EBITDA
- 127.23
- Gross margin
- 84.80%
- Operating margin
- 42.80%
- Net margin
- 49.00%
- Current ratio
- 7.23
- Quick ratio
- 7.23
- Debt / equity
- 0.02
- Interest cover
- 0.00
Income statement
| Year | Revenue | Gross profit | Operating income | Net income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$4.48B | US$3.69B | US$1.41B | US$1.63B | US$0.63 |
| 2024 | US$2.87B | US$2.30B | US$310.40M | US$462.19M | US$0.19 |
| 2023 | US$2.23B | US$1.79B | US$119.97M | US$209.82M | US$0.09 |
| 2022 | US$1.91B | US$1.50B | -US$161.20M | -US$373.70M | -US$0.18 |
| 2021 | US$1.54B | US$1.20B | -US$411.05M | -US$520.38M | -US$0.27 |
Balance sheet
| Year | Total assets | Total liabilities | Total equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$8.90B | US$1.41B | US$7.39B |
| 2024 | US$6.34B | US$1.25B | US$5.00B |
| 2023 | US$4.52B | US$961.46M | US$3.48B |
| 2022 | US$3.46B | US$818.80M | US$2.57B |
| 2021 | US$3.25B | US$956.42M | US$2.29B |
Cash flow
| Year | Operating cash flow | Free cash flow | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$2.13B | US$2.10B | US$1.63B |
| 2024 | US$1.15B | US$1.14B | US$467.92M |
| 2023 | US$712.18M | US$697.07M | US$217.38M |
| 2022 | US$223.74M | US$183.71M | -US$371.09M |
| 2021 | US$333.85M | US$321.22M | -US$520.38M |
EPS forecasts
| Period | Est. EPS | Est. revenue | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$0.7155 | US$4.37B | 17 |
| 2026 | US$1.60 | US$8.18B | 20 |
| 2027 | US$2.29 | US$12.25B | 20 |
| 2028 | US$3.44 | US$17.93B | 9 |
| 2029 | US$6.70 | US$33.44B | 3 |
| 2030 | US$14.38 | US$70.12B | 3 |
Analyst view
- Target (mean)
- US$183.42
- Target (high)
- US$250.00
- Target (low)
- US$80.00
- Strong buy
- 0
- Buy
- 13
- Hold
- 10
- Sell
- 3
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.