PGR The Progressive Corporation
Trend channel, buy level and 3-month target. Information only, not financial advice.
At the channel ceiling · 9-month channel rising
Price is at the upper line, where it has stalled before.
- 9-month channel read from
- US$202.23 – US$228.46 · rising, +14% a year
- 12-month channel
- US$202.16 – US$223.02 · rising, +5% a year
- Price in channel
- 111% (0% = floor, 100% = ceiling)
- Ceiling overhead
- none — above both ceilings
- Turns bearish below
- US$202.23
- Published levels
- Buy and target are not from this channel — see below.
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -30% from US$273.3017 Mar 2025 → 29 May 2026
- Whose problem it was
- This company0 of 1 Insurance - Property & Casualty peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Temporary falls like it have resolved on the record
- Regained so far
- 49%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 86% of 1244 comparable falls came back, typically in 69 days measured across every stock we hold history for, its peer group being too small
Fell -30% (17 Mar 2025 → 29 May 2026); regained 49% so far; company-specific.
Reported at the time: Barclays Maintains Equal-Weight on Progressive, Raises Price Target to $285 — 13 Mar 2025
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
Updated 5:03 PM ET (19 h ago)
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (9 months)
- Lower trend line (9 months)
- The same lines over the last 12 months
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Suggested path
Buy at or below
US$212.37
level as at 17 Nov 2026
Our target
US$231.57
by 30 Jan 2027
Projected move
9.0%
gross, before costs
Price is between our buy and target.
Target: the projected upper line.
This move size: reached in 71% of 12 past stretches, typically in 90 days. (0.10% per day)
- Upper line touches
- 3
- Lower line touches
- 5
- Fit confidence
- 79%
- Fitted
- 1 Nov 2026
Company information
About The Progressive Corporation
The Progressive Corporation, an insurance holding company, offers a comprehensive range of insurance products and associated services across the United States. Its portfolio includes personal and commercial vehicle coverage, residential and commercial property protection, general liability, and various other specialized property-casualty insurance options. The company's operations are structured into three main divisions: Personal Lines, Commercial Lines, and Property. Within the Personal Lines segment, Progressive provides coverage for individual automobiles and recreational vehicles. Offerings range from standard personal auto policies to specialized options for motorcycles, all-terrain vehicles (ATVs), RVs, watercraft, snowmobiles, and similar forms of personal transport. The Commercial Lines division focuses on providing primary liability and physical damage insurance for business vehicles, alongside general liability and property insurance tailored for commercial applications. This segment insures a diverse array of vehicles, including cars, vans, pickup trucks, and dump trucks for small businesses; tractors, trailers, and straight trucks for regional freight, expedited shipping, and long-haul transport companies; heavy-duty vehicles like dump trucks, log trucks, and garbage trucks used in industries such as construction, logging, and mining; and tow trucks and wreckers for towing and service stations, as well as various non-fleet taxis and premium car services. The Property segment offers residential insurance solutions for homeowners, other property owners, and renters. Its portfolio further extends to include personal umbrella policies and both primary and excess flood insurance. Beyond underwriting, the company facilitates policy issuance and claims adjusting. It also serves as an agent for various additional insurance products, such as homeowner general liability and workers' compensation, and provides reinsurance services. Progressive's products are distributed through independent insurance agencies, as well as directly to consumers via its online platforms (including mobile access) and telephone channels. Established in 1937, The Progressive Corporation maintains its headquarters in Mayfield, Ohio.
- Sector
- Financial Services
- Industry
- Insurance - Property & Casualty
- CEO
- Susan Patricia Griffith
- Employees
- 70,053
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own scores from the fundamentals below (not Morningstar ratings).
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$124.49B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 0.24
- Avg volume
- 2.99M
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 189.2-245.64
- Exchange
- NYSE
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted to past swing highs and lows and may not continue. Information only, not financial advice.