PANW Palo Alto Networks, Inc.
Palo Alto Networks, Inc. (PANW) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Technology. Listed on NASDAQ. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. On this symbol, 8 comparable calls have settled; 62.5% reached the published sell target. Information only, not financial advice.
In the sell zone
Price has run up to the upper trend line — the level it has repeatedly stalled at.
Read from the last 18 months of history we hold: rising, drifting +37% a year. The target of US$379.42 is below the nearest ceiling (US$420.80), so it does not depend on a breakout. What would overturn this: a close below US$117.60 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 18 months read from
- US$117.60 – US$420.80 Rising channel, +37% a year
- Position in that channel
- 85% 0% at the floor, 100% at the ceiling
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (18 months)
- Lower trend line (18 months)
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Suggested path
Buy at or below
US$329.93
level as at 2 Nov 2026
Our target
US$379.42
by 18 Nov 2026
Projected move
15.0%
gross, before costs
Price sits between our buy level and our target.
The lines are drawn where this stock has actually turned: 3 touches on the ceiling, 3 on the floor, each fitted to the slope that catches the most of them. Buying one average daily range below its 50-day mean, on heavier volume than usual and while it is still above its 200-day mean, has come up 791 times; measured against the 6% floor — the least a call has to be worth to be worth making, not what it aims at — 73% cleared it, typically in 34 days, with price going about 5% against the entry along the way (63% in the worst case we have on record). Trades that have not reached the target within 3 months are counted as misses, whatever they are worth at the time. The prices above are this stock’s own — its average, its volatility — but the setup is the same one we apply everywhere: derived on eight unrelated tickers, then confirmed on 87 others it was never fitted to. We deliberately do not tune it to each stock: doing so scores worse on history the tuning never saw — 58% against 71% — because it fits the past rather than the future. On this stock the setup has come up 13 times so far, reaching target 85% of the time. The sell price comes from where this stock is projected to be, not from a minimum worth taking: the fitted path reaches more than 30% above the entry within 90 days, and of the sizes that path supports, 15% is the one that has returned the most per day of money tied up here — measured over the 12 times this entry has come up on this chart, reached 83% of the time, typically in 16 days. Smaller sizes got there sooner but paid less for the weeks they used; larger ones need a break above the projected ceiling, which is not the base case. The date published is whichever is later: that typical time, or the day the projected path itself reaches the price. It is a prediction, so it can be revised: if the run tops out before it gets there, the target is cut to what is actually on the table and you are told the same day. An ordinary pullback is not treated as topping out — those go on to make a new high about 8 times in 10, so they are ridden through. What triggers the revision is price closing below its 50-day trend and staying there, after which the odds of recovery fall to roughly 3 in 10.
On this stock's own history these rules produced 8 settled calls, of which 5 reached target (62.5%), with an average best move of 10.2%. See the full record.
- Upper line touches
- 3
- Lower line touches
- 3
- Fit confidence
- 59%
- Fitted
- 15 Sept 2026
About Palo Alto Networks, Inc.
Palo Alto Networks, Inc. is a global leader in providing advanced cybersecurity solutions. The company's core product line includes both hardware and software-based firewalls. It also offers Panorama, a sophisticated security management platform designed for centralized control of these firewall deployments, whether they are physical appliances, virtual instances, or situated in public or private cloud environments. Additionally, the firm provides virtual system upgrades to enhance the capacity of its physical firewall units. Complementing its core products, Palo Alto Networks delivers an extensive range of subscription services. These encompass robust threat prevention, protection against malware and advanced persistent threats, URL filtering, and security for both laptop and mobile devices. Further specialized subscriptions include DNS security, Internet of Things (IoT) security, SaaS security (via API and inline methods), threat intelligence, and data loss prevention. Beyond its product and subscription offerings, the company extends various expert services, such as cloud security, secure access solutions, security analytics and automation tools, and specialized cybersecurity consulting, often integrated with threat intelligence. Its professional services cover critical areas like architectural design and planning, system implementation, configuration, and seamless firewall migration. Educational resources, including certifications and both online and in-classroom training, are also available, alongside comprehensive support services. Palo Alto Networks distributes its security solutions both directly and through an extensive network of channel partners. Its diverse clientele primarily comprises medium to large-scale enterprises, service providers, and governmental organizations across a wide array of industries. These sectors include education, energy, financial services, healthcare, internet and media, manufacturing, the broader public sector, and telecommunications. Established in 2005, Palo Alto Networks maintains its corporate headquarters in Santa Clara, California.
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Software - Infrastructure
- CEO
- Nikesh Arora
- Employees
- 21,491
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$293.20B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 0.89
- Avg volume
- 7.54M
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 139.57-398.88
- Exchange
- NASDAQ
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.