NIO NIO Inc.
NIO Inc. (NIO) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Consumer Cyclical. Listed on NYSE. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. If this ticker has no settled sample yet, treat the numbers as a geometric read, not a track record. Information only, not financial advice.
Mid-channel
Price is between the two trend lines. Nothing to act on yet.
Read from the last 3 years of history we hold: falling, drifting −8% a year. The nearest ceiling overhead is US$4.74. What would overturn this: a close below US$2.97 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 3 years read from
- US$2.97 – US$4.74 Falling channel, −8% a year
- Position in that channel
- 39% 0% at the floor, 100% at the ceiling
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (3 years)
- Lower trend line (3 years)
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Our target
No published call today because its projected path only reaches 4.1% above the entry within 90 days, under the 6.0% floor a call has to clear to be worth making. No alerts are sent. The buy and target below are still this site's read of the fitted channel.
Buy at or below
US$2.97
level as at 19 Sept 2026
Our target
US$4.15
by 18 Dec 2026
Projected move
40.0%
gross, before costs
Price sits between our buy level and our target.
- Upper line touches
- 4
- Lower line touches
- 4
- Fit confidence
- 33%
- Fitted
- 18 Sept 2026
About NIO Inc.
NIO Inc., a company based in Shanghai, China, specializes in the design, development, production, and sale of intelligent electric vehicles. Their product range includes five and six-seater electric SUVs, alongside smart electric sedans. Beyond manufacturing vehicles, NIO offers an extensive ecosystem of power solutions. These encompass home charging options (Power Home), an innovative battery swapping service (Power Swap), various public charging infrastructure like Power Charger and Destination Charger, and mobile charging vans (Power Mobile). Customers also benefit from the Power Map application, which provides real-time data on public charging networks, and the convenient One Click for Power valet charging service. The company provides a wide array of after-sales and customer support services. These include vehicle repairs, maintenance, and bodywork, available through both official NIO service centers and approved third-party facilities. They also facilitate insurance offerings, such as statutory, third-party liability, and vehicle damage policies, in collaboration with external insurers. Additional provisions cover roadside assistance, courtesy vehicle access, data package subscriptions, and automotive financing or leasing arrangements. Furthermore, NIO bundles energy and other service packages for its users. Internally, NIO is deeply involved in technological design and development, as well as the manufacturing of crucial electric vehicle components like e-powertrains and battery packs. They also oversee their sales and post-sales management operations. To complete its offerings, the company operates NIO Certified, a program dedicated to the inspection, evaluation, acquisition, and resale of pre-owned vehicles. Founded in 2014, the company was initially known as NextEV Inc. before officially changing its name to NIO Inc. in July 2017.
- Sector
- Consumer Cyclical
- Industry
- Auto - Manufacturers
- CEO
- Bin Li
- Employees
- 35,032
- Country
- CN
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- 67/100
- Profitability
- 0/100
- Financial health
- 4/100
- Cash generation
- 0/100
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$10.84B
- Enterprise value
- US$90.61B
- Beta
- 0.93
- Avg volume
- 30.82M
- Revenue per share
- 40.51
- Dividend yield
- 0.00%
- 52-week range
- 4.3-8.02
- Exchange
- NYSE
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- -7.39
- PEG
- -0.07
- Price / sales
- 0.73
- Price / book
- 16.79
- EV / EBITDA
- -30.43
- Gross margin
- 15.69%
- Operating margin
- -8.19%
- Net margin
- -8.97%
- Current ratio
- 1.01
- Quick ratio
- 0.90
- Debt / equity
- 6.12
- Interest cover
- -9.67
Income statement
| Year | Revenue | Gross profit | Operating income | Net income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$85.10B | US$11.59B | -US$14.37B | -US$14.55B | -US$6.64 |
| 2024 | US$65.73B | US$6.49B | -US$21.87B | -US$22.66B | -US$11.03 |
| 2023 | US$55.62B | US$3.05B | -US$22.66B | -US$21.15B | -US$12.44 |
| 2022 | US$49.27B | US$5.14B | -US$15.64B | -US$14.56B | -US$8.89 |
| 2021 | US$36.14B | US$6.82B | -US$4.50B | -US$10.57B | -US$6.72 |
Balance sheet
| Year | Total assets | Total liabilities | Total equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$124.48B | US$111.78B | US$4.16B |
| 2024 | US$107.60B | US$94.10B | US$5.97B |
| 2023 | US$117.38B | US$87.79B | US$25.55B |
| 2022 | US$96.26B | US$68.62B | US$23.87B |
| 2021 | US$82.88B | US$48.10B | US$34.71B |
Cash flow
| Year | Operating cash flow | Free cash flow | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$2.99B | -US$3.07B | -US$14.94B |
| 2024 | -US$7.85B | -US$16.99B | -US$22.66B |
| 2023 | -US$1.38B | -US$15.72B | -US$21.15B |
| 2022 | -US$3.87B | -US$10.84B | -US$14.56B |
| 2021 | US$1.97B | -US$2.11B | -US$10.57B |
EPS forecasts
| Period | Est. EPS | Est. revenue | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | -US$6.73 | US$87.40B | 6 |
| 2026 | -US$0.4928 | US$137.46B | 9 |
| 2027 | US$0.6751 | US$161.61B | 9 |
| 2028 | US$1.75 | US$179.02B | 13 |
| 2029 | US$2.67 | US$190.47B | 10 |
| 2030 | US$2.51 | US$194.54B | 5 |
Analyst view
- Target (mean)
- US$6.65
- Target (high)
- US$7.00
- Target (low)
- US$6.00
- Strong buy
- 0
- Buy
- 13
- Hold
- 9
- Sell
- 2
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.