MSTR Strategy Inc
Strategy Inc (MSTR) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Technology. Listed on NASDAQ. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. On this symbol, 14 comparable calls have settled; 100% reached the published sell target. Information only, not financial advice.
Broken out above
Price has closed above the channel. The fitted trend may no longer describe this stock.
Read from the last 2 years of history we hold: falling, drifting −51% a year. Price is above both fitted ceilings, so there is no line overhead to break — and no fitted resistance to price the target against either. What would overturn this: a close below US$81.28 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 2 years read from
- US$81.28 – US$136.31 Falling channel, −51% a year
- Position in that channel
- 132% above the ceiling of it — 0% is the floor, 100% the ceiling
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -83% from US$473.3620 Nov 2024 → 26 June 2026
- Whose problem it was
- This company4 of 20 Software - Application peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Permanent the record is against a recovery from here
- Regained so far
- 13%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 13% of 13 comparable falls came back, typically in 186 days measured on its own peer group
The trend broke in November 2024: price fell 83% from 473.36 to 82.04 by June 2026, and has regained 13% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. The wire that week: “Michael Saylor Is Planning A Bitcoin $100K Party At His House, Expects End Of War On Crypto Under Trump”. The evidence is against a recovery: falls of about 83% here have come back to the old high 13% of the time (13 comparable falls), typically in 186 days. Nothing is priced off the old high while that is the case.
Reported at the time: Michael Saylor Is Planning A Bitcoin $100K Party At His House, Expects End Of War On Crypto Under Trump — 15 Nov 2024
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (2 years)
- Lower trend line (2 years)
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Our target
No published call today because price has already run past what this setup aims at, so there is nothing left of the move to buy. No alerts are sent. The buy and target below are still this site's read of the fitted channel.
Buy at or below
US$81.21
level as at 19 Sept 2026
Our target
US$105.66
by 18 Dec 2026
Projected move
30.1%
gross, before costs
Price is at or through our target.
On this stock's own history these rules produced 14 settled calls, of which 14 reached target (100%), with an average best move of 19.2%. See the full record.
- Upper line touches
- 3
- Lower line touches
- 3
- Fit confidence
- 34%
- Fitted
- 18 Sept 2026
About Strategy Inc
Strategy Inc, together with its subsidiaries, operates as a bitcoin treasury company in the United States, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and internationally. It offers investors varying degrees of economic exposure to Bitcoin by offering a range of securities, including equity and fixed income instruments. The company also provides AI-powered enterprise analytics software, including Strategy One, which provides non-technical users with the ability to directly access novel and actionable insights for decision-making. In addition, the company provides Strategy Mosaic, a universal intelligence layer that offers enterprises with consistent definitions and governance across data sources, regardless of where that data resides or which tools access it. The company was formerly known as MicroStrategy Incorporated and changed its name to Strategy Inc in August 2025. The company was incorporated in 1989 and is headquartered in Tysons Corner, Virginia.
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Software - Application
- CEO
- Phong Q. Le
- Employees
- 1,539
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$42.87B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 3.60
- Avg volume
- 21.64M
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 81.81-365.21
- Exchange
- NASDAQ
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.