MSI Motorola Solutions, Inc.
Motorola Solutions, Inc. (MSI) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Technology. Listed on NYSE. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. If this ticker has no settled sample yet, treat the numbers as a geometric read, not a track record. Information only, not financial advice.
Mid-channel, rising on both timeframes
Price is between the two trend lines. Nothing to act on yet.
Read from the last 12 months of history we hold: rising, drifting +9% a year. The target of US$504.91 is below the nearest ceiling (US$511.14), so it does not depend on a breakout. What would overturn this: a close below US$404.76 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 12 months read from
- US$404.90 – US$511.49 Rising channel, +9% a year
- Position in that channel
- 52% 0% at the floor, 100% at the ceiling
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -27% from US$495.198 Nov 2024 → 12 Dec 2025
- Whose problem it was
- This company0 of 4 Communication Equipment peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Temporary falls like it have resolved on the record
- Regained so far
- 79%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 78% of 7 comparable falls came back, typically in 96 days measured on its own peer group
The trend broke in November 2024: price fell 27% from 495.19 to 361.43 by December 2025, and has regained 79% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. The wire that week: “Motorola Solutions Acquires 3tc Software, Financial Terms Not Disclosed”. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 27% here have come back to the old high 78% of the time (7 comparable falls), typically in 96 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it. Priced from that: 504.91 within 97 days, reached 78% of the time in 7 comparable falls — about 0.08% a day held.
The buy and sell prices below are priced off this recovery rather than off the channel: it is the better expected return per day held once each is charged for the odds of working.
Reported at the time: Motorola Solutions Acquires 3tc Software, Financial Terms Not Disclosed — 4 Nov 2024
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (12 months)
- Lower trend line (12 months)
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Suggested path
Buy now
US$460.54
last close · 16 Sept 2026
Channel buy is US$467.76; last close is the better price available now.
Our target
US$504.91
by 22 Dec 2026
Projected move
9.6%
gross, before costs
Last close is our buy — the best price available now.
The trend broke in November 2024: price fell 27% from 495.19 to 361.43 by December 2025, and has regained 79% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. The wire that week: “Motorola Solutions Acquires 3tc Software, Financial Terms Not Disclosed”. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 27% here have come back to the old high 78% of the time (7 comparable falls), typically in 96 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it. Priced from that: 504.91 within 97 days, reached 78% of the time in 7 comparable falls — about 0.08% a day held. The entry is today's price, not a dip level: the fall is behind it and the evidence measured is what these recoveries paid from here, so waiting for a lower entry would be waiting for something the record does not say is coming. Of 7 comparable falls in Communication Equipment, 78% were back at the old high within 96 days of the low, and the ones that got there gave up about 9% along the way — so expect to be underwater before it works. The target is the median level they regained, which is short of the old high of 495.19 because not all of them saw it again. It is a prediction and it is revised the same way any other is: if price loses its 50-day trend and stays below it, the recovery is treated as failed rather than delayed.
- Upper line touches
- 2
- Lower line touches
- 4
- Fit confidence
- 74%
- Fitted
- 16 Sept 2026
About Motorola Solutions, Inc.
Motorola Solutions, Inc. delivers essential communication and data analysis capabilities vital for critical operations across the United States, the United Kingdom, Canada, and other international markets. The company structures its extensive operations into two primary segments: Products and Systems Integration, and Software and Services. The Products and Systems Integration division offers a comprehensive suite of infrastructure, various devices, accessories, and video security solutions, alongside expert services for the deployment and seamless integration of systems, hardware, software, and specialized applications. This segment caters to governmental bodies, public safety agencies, and commercial enterprises that rely on private communication networks, advanced video security systems, and robust tools for managing mobile workforces. Their product portfolio spans land mobile radio (LMR) communication equipment, such as portable and vehicle-mounted two-way radios, as well as video security and access control hardware, including fixed and mobile cameras. It also encompasses core radio network software and central processing systems, base stations, consoles, and repeaters, in addition to sophisticated video analytics, network video management hardware and software, and access control solutions. Conversely, the Software and Services segment focuses on providing critical support and advanced software. This includes hardware repair, comprehensive technical assistance, and ongoing maintenance. Furthermore, the segment delivers proactive monitoring, regular software updates, and robust cybersecurity services. It develops specialized public safety and enterprise command center software, unified communications applications, and video software solutions, which are accessible through both on-premise installations and cloud-based "as a service" models. Like the product division, this segment also serves government, public safety, and commercial clientele. Motorola Solutions, Inc. was established in 1928, initially operating as Motorola, Inc. before adopting its current name in January 2011. Its corporate headquarters are situated in Chicago, Illinois.
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Communication Equipment
- CEO
- Gregory Q. Brown
- Employees
- 23,000
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$77.88B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 0.88
- Avg volume
- 1.09M
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 359.36-494.85
- Exchange
- NYSE
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.