META Meta Platforms, Inc.
Meta Platforms, Inc. (META) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Communication Services. Listed on NASDAQ. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. On this symbol, 3 comparable calls have settled; 100% reached the published sell target. Information only, not financial advice.
Broken out above, falling on both timeframes
Price has closed above the channel. The fitted trend may no longer describe this stock.
The next few months are read from the last 12 months, not the last 18 months: that channel fits this stock's recent turns at least as well (52% against 47%) and it is the one price is respecting now. The last 18 months stay as context: falling, −11% a year. Price is above both fitted ceilings, so there is no line overhead to break — and no fitted resistance to price the target against either. What would overturn this: a close below US$540.87 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 18 months
- US$540.95 – US$667.21 Falling channel, −11% a year
- 12 months read from
- US$540.87 – US$590.74 Falling channel, −17% a year
- Position in that channel
- 267% above the ceiling of it — 0% is the floor, 100% the ceiling
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -33% from US$787.2212 Aug 2025 → 27 Mar 2026
- Whose problem it was
- This company2 of 5 Internet Content & Information peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Temporary falls like it have resolved on the record
- Regained so far
- 55%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 79% of 12 comparable falls came back, typically in 80 days measured on its own peer group
The trend broke in August 2025: price fell 33% from 787.22 to 525.16 by March 2026, and has regained 55% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. The wire that week: “Trump Administration Orders US Diplomats To Oppose EU's Digital Services Act: Report”. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 33% here have come back to the old high 79% of the time (12 comparable falls), typically in 80 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it. Priced from that: 797.76 within 152 days, reached 79% of the time in 12 comparable falls — about 0.12% a day held.
The buy and sell prices below are priced off this recovery rather than off the channel: it is the better expected return per day held once each is charged for the odds of working.
Reported at the time: Trump Administration Orders US Diplomats To Oppose EU's Digital Services Act: Report — 7 Aug 2025
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (18 months)
- Lower trend line (18 months)
- The same lines over the last 12 months
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Suggested path
Buy at or below
US$670.49
level as at 16 Sept 2026
Our target
US$797.76
by 15 Feb 2027
Projected move
19.0%
gross, before costs
Price sits between our buy level and our target.
The trend broke in August 2025: price fell 33% from 787.22 to 525.16 by March 2026, and has regained 55% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. The wire that week: “Trump Administration Orders US Diplomats To Oppose EU's Digital Services Act: Report”. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 33% here have come back to the old high 79% of the time (12 comparable falls), typically in 80 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it. Priced from that: 797.76 within 152 days, reached 79% of the time in 12 comparable falls — about 0.12% a day held. The entry is today's price, not a dip level: the fall is behind it and the evidence measured is what these recoveries paid from here, so waiting for a lower entry would be waiting for something the record does not say is coming. Of 12 comparable falls in Internet Content & Information, 79% were back at the old high within 80 days of the low, and the ones that got there gave up about 9% along the way — so expect to be underwater before it works. The target is the median level they regained, which is short of the old high of 787.22 because not all of them saw it again. It is a prediction and it is revised the same way any other is: if price loses its 50-day trend and stays below it, the recovery is treated as failed rather than delayed.
On this stock's own history these rules produced 3 settled calls, of which 3 reached target (100%), with an average best move of 12.3%. See the full record.
- Upper line touches
- 5
- Lower line touches
- 5
- Fit confidence
- 47%
- Fitted
- 16 Sept 2026
About Meta Platforms, Inc.
Meta Platforms Inc., which operated as Facebook, Inc. until its October 2021 rebranding, is a technology enterprise focused on developing innovative products that empower people globally to connect and share with their friends and family. These services are accessible across a variety of digital platforms, including mobile phones, personal computers, virtual reality devices, and wearables. The company's activities are organized into two principal divisions: the Family of Apps and Reality Labs. The Family of Apps segment encompasses well-known platforms such as: Facebook, where users can share content, participate in discussions, explore new interests, and build connections. Instagram, a vibrant community dedicated to sharing visual media like photos and videos, sending private messages, and utilizing features such as user feeds, ephemeral stories, short video reels, live streams, and integrated shopping functionalities. Messenger, a dedicated application that facilitates text, audio, and video communications, enabling individuals to communicate with their social networks, communities, and even businesses across different devices and operating systems. WhatsApp, a widely adopted and secure messaging service employed by individuals and enterprises for private communication and financial transactions. The Reality Labs division concentrates on pioneering augmented and virtual reality technologies. This segment is responsible for creating consumer-grade hardware, sophisticated software, and engaging content, all aimed at fostering a sense of connection among people, regardless of their physical location or time zone. Meta Platforms Inc. was founded in 2004 and its corporate headquarters are situated in Menlo Park, California.
- Sector
- Communication Services
- Industry
- Internet Content & Information
- CEO
- Mark Elliot Zuckerberg
- Employees
- 78,865
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- 57/100
- Profitability
- 99/100
- Financial health
- 83/100
- Cash generation
- 64/100
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$1.51T
- Enterprise value
- US$1.61T
- Beta
- 1.25
- Avg volume
- 17.88M
- Revenue per share
- 89.76
- Dividend yield
- 0.35%
- 52-week range
- 520.26-796.25
- Exchange
- NASDAQ
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- 22.00
- PEG
- -4.51
- Price / sales
- 6.61
- Price / book
- 5.76
- EV / EBITDA
- 14.99
- Gross margin
- 81.75%
- Operating margin
- 38.08%
- Net margin
- 29.84%
- Current ratio
- 2.23
- Quick ratio
- 2.23
- Debt / equity
- 0.43
- Interest cover
- 38.13
Income statement
| Year | Revenue | Gross profit | Operating income | Net income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$200.97B | US$164.79B | US$83.28B | US$60.46B | US$23.49 |
| 2024 | US$164.50B | US$134.34B | US$69.38B | US$62.36B | US$23.86 |
| 2023 | US$134.90B | US$108.94B | US$46.75B | US$39.10B | US$14.87 |
| 2022 | US$116.61B | US$91.36B | US$28.94B | US$23.20B | US$8.59 |
| 2021 | US$117.93B | US$95.28B | US$46.75B | US$39.37B | US$13.77 |
Balance sheet
| Year | Total assets | Total liabilities | Total equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$366.02B | US$148.78B | US$217.24B |
| 2024 | US$276.05B | US$93.42B | US$182.64B |
| 2023 | US$229.62B | US$76.45B | US$153.17B |
| 2022 | US$185.73B | US$60.01B | US$125.71B |
| 2021 | US$165.99B | US$41.11B | US$124.88B |
Cash flow
| Year | Operating cash flow | Free cash flow | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$115.80B | US$46.11B | US$60.46B |
| 2024 | US$91.33B | US$54.07B | US$62.36B |
| 2023 | US$71.11B | US$43.85B | US$39.10B |
| 2022 | US$50.48B | US$19.04B | US$23.20B |
| 2021 | US$57.68B | US$39.12B | US$39.37B |
EPS forecasts
| Period | Est. EPS | Est. revenue | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$22.92 | US$199.57B | 33 |
| 2026 | US$32.00 | US$253.95B | 41 |
| 2027 | US$34.29 | US$304.55B | 41 |
| 2028 | US$39.72 | US$358.94B | 34 |
| 2029 | US$50.44 | US$428.58B | 29 |
| 2030 | US$54.91 | US$467.68B | 16 |
Analyst view
- Target (mean)
- US$723.69
- Target (high)
- US$883.00
- Target (low)
- US$595.00
- Strong buy
- 2
- Buy
- 50
- Hold
- 11
- Sell
- 2
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.