LBRT Liberty Energy Inc.
Liberty Energy Inc. (LBRT) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Energy. Listed on NYSE. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. If this ticker has no settled sample yet, treat the numbers as a geometric read, not a track record. Information only, not financial advice.
Broken down below, rising this year inside a falling 0.7425730957001523-year channel
Price has closed below the channel. Support has failed — treat the buy target with caution.
The next few months are read from the last 9 months, the stretch whose swings the lines actually follow, because the last 12 months alone do not contain enough turns to fit reliably (36% against 56%). The last 12 months stay as context: rising, +43% a year. A stock can be falling inside a channel that still rises over years; that is what this is, and only one of the two can be the near-term expectation. The target of US$20.77 is below the nearest ceiling (US$39.70), so it does not depend on a breakout. What would overturn this: a close below US$21.46 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 9 months read from
- US$21.46 – US$39.72 Falling channel, −37% a year
- Position in that channel
- -10% below the floor of it — 0% is the floor, 100% the ceiling
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -50% from US$33.674 May 2026 → 27 July 2026
- Whose problem it was
- This companyno peer group to compare against
- Does it resolve?
- Temporary falls like it have resolved on the record
- Regained so far
- 16%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 65% of 694 comparable falls came back, typically in 113 days measured across every stock we hold history for, its peer group being too small
The trend broke in May 2026: price fell 50% from 33.67 to 16.81 by July 2026, and has regained 16% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. The wire that week: “Barclays Maintains Equal-Weight on Liberty Energy, Raises Price Target to $32”. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 50% here have come back to the old high 65% of the time (694 comparable falls), typically in 113 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it.
Reported at the time: Barclays Maintains Equal-Weight on Liberty Energy, Raises Price Target to $32 — 8 May 2026
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (9 months)
- Lower trend line (9 months)
- The same lines over the last 12 months
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Suggested path
Buy at or below
US$19.59
level as at 6 Oct 2026
Our target
US$20.77
by 14 Oct 2026
Projected move
6.0%
gross, before costs
Price is at or below our buy level.
The published exit is the level on this path with the highest expected return per day held (this stock’s own size), not a farther recovery the projected ceiling does not reach. Holding through a dip past this exit would lower that rate.
- Upper line touches
- 3
- Lower line touches
- 2
- Fit confidence
- 56%
- Fitted
- 6 Oct 2026
About Liberty Energy Inc.
Liberty Energy Inc. operates across North America, delivering crucial hydraulic fracturing and wireline services, along with associated products, to land-based companies focused on oil and natural gas exploration and production. Its extensive service portfolio encompasses specialized hydraulic fracturing pressure pumping, including both general pressure pumping and pumpdown perforating services. The company also provides advanced wireline solutions, efficient proppant delivery systems, sophisticated data analytics, and a variety of related technologies and supplies. Further augmenting its capabilities, Liberty Energy owns and operates two sand mines strategically located in the prolific Permian Basin. As of the close of 2021, the company maintained approximately 30 active frac fleets. Liberty Energy's primary operational focus is centered in major North American unconventional resource plays, including the Permian Basin, the Eagle Ford Shale, the Denver-Julesburg Basin, the Williston Basin, and the Powder River Basin. Originally founded in 2011 as Liberty Oilfield Services Inc., the company officially adopted its current name, Liberty Energy Inc., in April 2022. Its corporate headquarters are situated in Denver, Colorado.
- Sector
- Energy
- Industry
- Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
- CEO
- Ron Gusek
- Employees
- 5,800
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$3.20B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 0.61
- Avg volume
- 4.20M
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 11.52-34.48
- Exchange
- NYSE
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.