INTC Intel Corp.
Intel Corp. (INTC) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Technology. Listed on NASDAQ. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. On this symbol, 2 comparable calls have settled; 50% reached the published sell target. Information only, not financial advice.
In the buy zone
Price is sitting on the lower trend line — the level that has repeatedly held.
Read from the last 18 months of history we hold: rising, drifting more than +100% a year. The target of US$143.88 is below the nearest ceiling (US$158.96), so it does not depend on a breakout. What would overturn this: a close below US$94.29 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 18 months read from
- US$94.29 – US$158.96 Rising channel, more than +100% a year
- Position in that channel
- 11% 0% at the floor, 100% at the ceiling
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -42% from US$140.9922 June 2026 → 29 July 2026
- Whose problem it was
- Its sector14 of 24 Semiconductors peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Temporary falls like it have resolved on the record
- Regained so far
- 30%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 82% of 60 comparable falls came back, typically in 86 days measured on its own peer group
The trend broke in June 2026: price fell 42% from 140.99 to 81.92 by July 2026, and has regained 30% of that fall since. It was not this company alone: 14 of 24 Semiconductors peers fell as far within weeks of it, so the fall was the sector repricing rather than news about this business. The wire that week: “Intel Stock Gains As 18A-P Semiconductor Node Enters Risk Production”. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 42% here have come back to the old high 82% of the time (60 comparable falls), typically in 86 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it. Priced from that: 143.88 within 124 days, reached 82% of the time in 60 comparable falls — about 0.36% a day held.
The buy and sell prices below are priced off this recovery rather than off the channel: it is the better expected return per day held once each is charged for the odds of working.
Reported at the time: Intel Stock Gains As 18A-P Semiconductor Node Enters Risk Production — 17 June 2026
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (18 months)
- Lower trend line (18 months)
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Suggested path
Buy at or below
US$99.66
level as at 16 Sept 2026
Our target
US$143.88
by 18 Jan 2027
Projected move
44.4%
gross, before costs
Price sits between our buy level and our target.
The trend broke in June 2026: price fell 42% from 140.99 to 81.92 by July 2026, and has regained 30% of that fall since. It was not this company alone: 14 of 24 Semiconductors peers fell as far within weeks of it, so the fall was the sector repricing rather than news about this business. The wire that week: “Intel Stock Gains As 18A-P Semiconductor Node Enters Risk Production”. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 42% here have come back to the old high 82% of the time (60 comparable falls), typically in 86 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it. Priced from that: 143.88 within 124 days, reached 82% of the time in 60 comparable falls — about 0.36% a day held. The entry is today's price, not a dip level: the fall is behind it and the evidence measured is what these recoveries paid from here, so waiting for a lower entry would be waiting for something the record does not say is coming. Of 60 comparable falls in Semiconductors, 82% were back at the old high within 86 days of the low, and the ones that got there gave up about 16% along the way — so expect to be underwater before it works. The target is the median level they regained, which is short of the old high of 140.99 because not all of them saw it again. It is a prediction and it is revised the same way any other is: if price loses its 50-day trend and stays below it, the recovery is treated as failed rather than delayed.
On this stock's own history these rules produced 2 settled calls, of which 1 reached target (50%), with an average best move of 14.1%. See the full record.
- Upper line touches
- 2
- Lower line touches
- 2
- Fit confidence
- 39%
- Fitted
- 16 Sept 2026
About Intel Corp.
Intel Corporation designs, develops, manufactures, markets, sells, and services computing and related end products and services in the United States, Ireland, Israel, and internationally. It operates through three segments: CCG, DCAI, and Intel Foundry. The company offers client computing group products, including client and commercial CPUs, discrete client GPUs, edge computing, and connectivity products; data center and AI products, such as server CPUs, discrete GPUs, and networking products; and semiconductors comprising wafer fabrication, substrates, and other related products and services. It also provides driving assistance and self-driving solutions; and develops and manufactures multi-beam mask writing tools. The company sells its products through sales organizations, distributors, resellers, retailers, and OEM partners. It serves original equipment manufacturers, original design manufacturers, cloud service providers, and other manufacturers and service providers. Intel Corporation has a strategic collaboration with Infosys Limited to develop a multi-layer AI fabric that unifies infrastructure, models, data, applications, and workflows into a composable and agent-ready ecosystem. The company was incorporated in 1968 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, California.
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Semiconductors
- CEO
- Lip-Bu Tan
- Employees
- 85,100
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- 49/100
- Profitability
- 0/100
- Financial health
- 38/100
- Cash generation
- 41/100
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$489.97B
- Enterprise value
- US$527.64B
- Beta
- 2.23
- Avg volume
- 118.16M
- Revenue per share
- 11.17
- Dividend yield
- 0.00%
- 52-week range
- 24.45-142.35
- Exchange
- NASDAQ
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- -46.04
- PEG
- 0.00
- Price / sales
- 8.59
- Price / book
- 5.66
- EV / EBITDA
- 143.69
- Gross margin
- 38.93%
- Operating margin
- 0.14%
- Net margin
- -19.79%
- Current ratio
- 1.60
- Quick ratio
- 1.25
- Debt / equity
- 0.58
- Interest cover
- 0.07
Income statement
| Year | Revenue | Gross profit | Operating income | Net income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$52.85B | US$18.38B | -US$23.00M | -US$267.00M | -US$0.06 |
| 2024 | US$53.10B | US$17.34B | -US$11.68B | -US$18.76B | -US$4.38 |
| 2023 | US$54.23B | US$21.71B | US$93.00M | US$1.69B | US$0.40 |
| 2022 | US$63.05B | US$26.87B | US$2.33B | US$8.01B | US$1.94 |
| 2021 | US$79.02B | US$43.81B | US$19.46B | US$19.87B | US$4.86 |
Balance sheet
| Year | Total assets | Total liabilities | Total equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$211.43B | US$85.07B | US$114.28B |
| 2024 | US$196.49B | US$91.45B | US$99.27B |
| 2023 | US$191.57B | US$81.61B | US$105.59B |
| 2022 | US$182.10B | US$78.82B | US$101.42B |
| 2021 | US$168.41B | US$73.02B | US$95.39B |
Cash flow
| Year | Operating cash flow | Free cash flow | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$9.70B | -US$4.95B | US$26.00M |
| 2024 | US$8.29B | -US$15.66B | -US$19.23B |
| 2023 | US$11.47B | -US$14.28B | US$1.68B |
| 2022 | US$15.43B | -US$9.62B | US$8.02B |
| 2021 | US$29.46B | US$9.13B | US$19.87B |
EPS forecasts
| Period | Est. EPS | Est. revenue | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$0.3447 | US$52.61B | 30 |
| 2026 | US$1.50 | US$62.83B | 24 |
| 2027 | US$2.08 | US$72.29B | 29 |
| 2028 | US$3.08 | US$82.51B | 14 |
| 2029 | US$4.59 | US$98.28B | 6 |
| 2030 | US$6.84 | US$128.58B | 7 |
Analyst view
- Target (mean)
- US$110.97
- Target (high)
- US$200.00
- Target (low)
- US$60.00
- Strong buy
- 0
- Buy
- 32
- Hold
- 46
- Sell
- 7
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.