IBIT iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF
Trend channel, buy level and 3-month target. Information only, not financial advice.
Inside the channel · 12-month channel falling
Price is between the lines.
- 2-year channel
- US$30.62 – US$48.15 · falling, −18% a year
- 12-month channel read from
- US$31.36 – US$48.74 · falling, −19% a year
- Price in channel
- 69% (0% = floor, 100% = ceiling)
- Ceiling overhead
- US$48.15
- Turns bearish below
- US$31.36
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -53% from US$71.296 Oct 2025 → 30 June 2026
- Whose problem it was
- Its sector2 of 3 Asset Management - Cryptocurrency peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Temporary falls like it have resolved on the record
- Regained so far
- 27%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 61% of 644 comparable falls came back, typically in 120 days measured across every stock we hold history for, its peer group being too small
Fell -53% (6 Oct 2025 → 30 June 2026); regained 27% so far; sector-wide.
Reported at the time: Bitcoin Hits $120,000 As JPMorgan Lifts Year-End Target To $165,000 — 2 Oct 2025
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
Updated 10:00 AM ET (26 h ago)
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (2 years)
- Lower trend line (2 years)
- The same lines over the last 12 months
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Suggested path
Buy now
US$43.41
last close · 30 Oct 2026
Our target
US$48.06
by 5 Dec 2026
Projected move
10.7%
gross, before costs
Last close is our buy.
Target: the projected upper line.
This move size: reached in 40% of 9 past stretches, typically in 33 days. (0.23% per day)
- Upper line touches
- 3
- Lower line touches
- 6
- Fit confidence
- 39%
- Fitted
- 1 Nov 2026
Company information
About iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF
The iShares Bitcoin Trust ETF is engineered to generally replicate the market price performance of Bitcoin. Notably, this ETF is not registered as an investment company under the 1940 Investment Company Act, meaning it is not subject to the same regulatory oversight that governs mutual funds or other ETFs registered under that statute. Furthermore, the Trust is not categorized as a commodity pool according to the Commodity Exchange Act. Potential investors are strongly advised to meticulously review the prospectus, giving careful consideration to the outlined risk factors and all other essential information, before making an investment decision.
- Sector
- Financial Services
- Industry
- Asset Management - Cryptocurrency
- CEO
- Shannon Ghia
- Country
- US
https://www.ishares.com/us/products/333011/ishares-bitcoin-trust-etf
Scorecard
Our own scores from the fundamentals below (not Morningstar ratings).
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$65.75B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 2.14
- Avg volume
- 45.67M
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 32.84-65.97
- Exchange
- NASDAQ
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted to past swing highs and lows and may not continue. Information only, not financial advice.