HONA Honeywell Aerospace Inc. Common Stock
Honeywell Aerospace Inc. Common Stock (HONA) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Industrials. Listed on NASDAQ. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. If this ticker has no settled sample yet, treat the numbers as a geometric read, not a track record. Information only, not financial advice.
Broken out above (provisional)
Price has closed above the channel. The fitted trend may no longer describe this stock.
Read from the last 3 months of history we hold: falling, drifting −90% a year. Price is above both fitted ceilings, so there is no line overhead to break — and no fitted resistance to price the target against either. What would overturn this: a close below US$67.65 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 3 months read from
- US$67.65 – US$133.98 Falling channel, −90% a year
- Position in that channel
- 145% above the ceiling of it — 0% is the floor, 100% the ceiling
Provisional: fitted to a short history, so treat the lines as a first read rather than a projection. No trade is suggested and alerts stay off until there is more data.
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -45% from US$276.7516 June 2026 → 9 Sept 2026
- Whose problem it was
- This company0 of 1 Aircraft Engines & Engine Parts peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Temporary falls like it have resolved on the record
- Regained so far
- 10%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 72% of 778 comparable falls came back, typically in 100 days measured across every stock we hold history for, its peer group being too small
The trend broke in June 2026: price fell 45% from 276.75 to 151.57 by September 2026, and has regained 10% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 45% here have come back to the old high 72% of the time (778 comparable falls), typically in 100 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it. Priced from that: 280.23 within 91 days, reached 72% of the time in 778 comparable falls — about 0.78% a day held.
The buy and sell prices below are priced off this recovery rather than off the channel: it is the better expected return per day held once each is charged for the odds of working.
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (3 months)
- Lower trend line (3 months)
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Our target
The lines above are fitted to a short history, which is not a base we will project a published call from. The buy and target below are still this site's read of those lines.
Buy at or below
US$164.10
level as at 17 Sept 2026
Our target
US$280.23
by 17 Dec 2026
Projected move
70.8%
gross, before costs
Price is at or below our buy level.
- Upper line touches
- 3
- Lower line touches
- 2
- Fit confidence
- 65%
- Fitted
- 17 Sept 2026
Company information
Fundamentals are not available for this instrument from the current data provider.
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.