HL Hecla Mining Company
Hecla Mining Company (HL) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Energy. Listed on NYSE. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. If this ticker has no settled sample yet, treat the numbers as a geometric read, not a track record. Information only, not financial advice.
Broken out above, rising this year inside a falling 0.7463790372907154-year channel
Price has closed above the channel. The fitted trend may no longer describe this stock.
The next few months are read from the last 9 months, the stretch whose swings the lines actually follow, because the last 12 months alone do not contain enough turns to fit reliably (43% against 60%). The last 12 months stay as context: rising, +27% a year. A stock can be falling inside a channel that still rises over years; that is what this is, and only one of the two can be the near-term expectation. Price is above both fitted ceilings, so there is no line overhead to break — and no fitted resistance to price the target against either. What would overturn this: a close below US$13.05 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 9 months read from
- US$13.05 – US$16.31 Falling channel, −41% a year
- 12 months
- US$13.95 – US$16.35 Rising channel, +27% a year
- Position in that channel
- 152% above the ceiling of it — 0% is the floor, 100% the ceiling
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -56% from US$31.8023 Jan 2026 → 10 June 2026
- Whose problem it was
- This company0 of 2 Mining & Quarrying of Nonmetallic Minerals (No Fuels) peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Unsettled too close to a coin toss on the record to call
- Regained so far
- 32%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 58% of 580 comparable falls came back, typically in 127 days measured across every stock we hold history for, its peer group being too small
The trend broke in January 2026: price fell 56% from 31.80 to 14.06 by June 2026, and has regained 32% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. The wire that week: “Silvercorp Metals, Hecla Mining, Other Silver Stocks Surge In Tuesday Pre-Market: What's Going On?”. What happens next is not settled: falls of about 56% here have come back to the old high 58% of the time (580 comparable falls), typically in 127 days, which is too close to a coin toss to price a recovery from.
Reported at the time: Silvercorp Metals, Hecla Mining, Other Silver Stocks Surge In Tuesday Pre-Market: What's Going On? — 20 Jan 2026
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (9 months)
- Lower trend line (9 months)
- The same lines over the last 12 months
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Our target
No published call today because price has closed 20.5% clear above the channel, so the fitted lines no longer describe where it is. No alerts are sent. The buy and target below are still this site's read of the fitted channel.
Buy at or below
US$13.02
level as at 17 Sept 2026
Our target
US$13.41
by 16 Dec 2026
Projected move
3.0%
gross, before costs
Price is at or through our target.
- Upper line touches
- 2
- Lower line touches
- 3
- Fit confidence
- 60%
- Fitted
- 13 Sept 2026
Company information
Fundamentals are not available for this instrument from the current data provider.
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.