FIX Comfort Systems USA, Inc.
Comfort Systems USA, Inc. (FIX) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Industrials. Listed on NYSE. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. If this ticker has no settled sample yet, treat the numbers as a geometric read, not a track record. Information only, not financial advice.
Mid-channel
Price is between the two trend lines. Nothing to act on yet.
Read from the last 9 months of history we hold: rising, drifting more than +100% a year. The nearest ceiling overhead is US$1,788. What would overturn this: a close below US$1,536 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 9 months read from
- US$1,536 – US$1,788 Rising channel, more than +100% a year
- Position in that channel
- 21% 0% at the floor, 100% at the ceiling
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -27% from US$2,06622 June 2026 → 29 July 2026
- Whose problem it was
- This company2 of 2 Engineering & Construction peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Temporary falls like it have resolved on the record
- Regained so far
- 11%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 87% of 1081 comparable falls came back, typically in 66 days measured across every stock we hold history for, its peer group being too small
The trend broke in June 2026: price fell 27% from 2066.17 to 1517.05 by July 2026, and has regained 11% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. The wire that week: “$1000 Invested In Comfort Systems USA 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today”. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 27% here have come back to the old high 87% of the time (1081 comparable falls), typically in 66 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it. Priced from that: 2087.99 within 416 days, reached 87% of the time in 1081 comparable falls — about 0.08% a day held.
Reported at the time: $1000 Invested In Comfort Systems USA 5 Years Ago Would Be Worth This Much Today — 22 June 2026
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (9 months)
- Lower trend line (9 months)
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Our target
No published call today because its projected path only reaches 2.9% above the entry within 90 days, under the 6.0% floor a call has to clear to be worth making. No alerts are sent. The buy and target below are still this site's read of the fitted channel.
Buy at or below
US$1,534
level as at 17 Sept 2026
Our target
US$1,537
by 16 Dec 2026
Projected move
0.2%
gross, before costs
Price is at or through our target.
- Upper line touches
- 2
- Lower line touches
- 3
- Fit confidence
- 47%
- Fitted
- 16 Sept 2026
About Comfort Systems USA, Inc.
Comfort Systems USA, Inc., together with its subsidiaries, provides mechanical and electrical installation, renovation, maintenance, repair, and replacement services for the mechanical and electrical services industry in the United States. The company operates through two segments: Mechanical and Electrical. It offers heating, ventilation, and air conditioning systems, as well as plumbing, electrical, piping and controls, off-site construction, monitoring, and fire protection. The company is also involved in the design, engineering, integration, installation, and start-up of mechanical, electrical, and plumbing (MEP) and related systems in new buildings; and renovation, expansion, maintenance, monitoring, repair, and replacement of systems in existing buildings. In addition, it provides remote monitoring of power usage, temperature, pressure, humidity and air flow for MEP and other building systems. The company serves building owners and developers, general contractors, architects, consulting engineers, and property managers in the commercial, industrial, and institutional markets. Comfort Systems USA, Inc. was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Houston, Texas.
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Engineering & Construction
- CEO
- Brian E. Lane
- Employees
- 22,700
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$55.99B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 1.68
- Avg volume
- 459.47K
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 751.85-2073.99
- Exchange
- NYSE
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.