FIG Figma, Inc.
Figma, Inc. (FIG) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Technology. Listed on NYSE. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. If this ticker has no settled sample yet, treat the numbers as a geometric read, not a track record. Information only, not financial advice.
In the buy zone, falling on both timeframes
Price is sitting on the lower trend line — the level that has repeatedly held.
The next few months are read from the last 12 months, not the last 14 months: that channel fits this stock's recent turns at least as well (25% against 24%) and it is the one price is respecting now. The last 14 months stay as context: falling, −72% a year. The nearest ceiling overhead is US$30.59, from the last 14 months. What would overturn this: a close below US$22.40 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 14 months read from
- US$22.43 – US$30.59 Falling channel, −72% a year
- Position in that channel
- 8% 0% at the floor, 100% at the ceiling
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -86% from US$121.731 Aug 2025 → 25 June 2026
- Whose problem it was
- This company2 of 9 Services-Prepackaged Software peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Permanent the record is against a recovery from here
- Regained so far
- 7%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 29% of 5 comparable falls came back, typically in 381 days measured on its own peer group
The trend broke in August 2025: price fell 86% from 121.73 to 16.82 by June 2026, and has regained 7% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. The wire that week: “Figma IPO Price Expected Between $30 And $32 Per Share”. The evidence is against a recovery: falls of about 86% here have come back to the old high 29% of the time (5 comparable falls), typically in 381 days. Nothing is priced off the old high while that is the case.
Reported at the time: Figma IPO Price Expected Between $30 And $32 Per Share — 28 July 2025
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (14 months)
- Lower trend line (14 months)
- The same lines over the last 12 months
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Our target
No published call today because the entry we trade has not come up here often enough to have a record. No alerts are sent. The buy and target below are still this site's read of the fitted channel.
Buy at or below
US$22.45
level as at 17 Sept 2026
Our target
US$27.99
by 16 Dec 2026
Projected move
24.7%
gross, before costs
Price sits between our buy level and our target.
- Upper line touches
- 2
- Lower line touches
- 2
- Fit confidence
- 24%
- Fitted
- 16 Sept 2026
Company information
Fundamentals are not available for this instrument from the current data provider.
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.