FERG Ferguson plc
Ferguson plc (FERG) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Industrials. Listed on NYSE. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. If this ticker has no settled sample yet, treat the numbers as a geometric read, not a track record. Information only, not financial advice.
Broken down below, going sideways this year inside a rising 1.4959793785832065-year channel
Price has closed below the channel. Support has failed — treat the buy target with caution.
The next few months are read from the last 12 months, not the last 18 months: that channel fits this stock's recent turns at least as well (76% against 71%) and it is the one price is respecting now. The last 18 months stay as context: rising, +20% a year. The nearest ceiling overhead is US$266.58, from the last 12 months. What would overturn this: a close below US$222.36 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 18 months read from
- US$222.31 – US$266.58 Rising channel, +20% a year
- Position in that channel
- -18% below the floor of it — 0% is the floor, 100% the ceiling
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (18 months)
- Lower trend line (18 months)
- The same lines over the last 12 months
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Our target
No published call today because price has broken 3.2% below the channel floor, which is a fall out of the trend rather than a dip within it. No alerts are sent. The buy and target below are still this site's read of the fitted channel.
Buy now
US$214.42
last close · 16 Sept 2026
Channel buy is US$222.34; last close is the better price available now.
Our target
US$266.59
by 16 Dec 2026
Projected move
24.3%
gross, before costs
Last close is our buy — the best price available now.
- Upper line touches
- 3
- Lower line touches
- 5
- Fit confidence
- 71%
- Fitted
- 16 Sept 2026
About Ferguson plc
Ferguson plc operates as a major supplier of plumbing, heating, and related industrial products throughout the United States and Canada. The company serves a diverse client base, providing essential solutions for residential, commercial, civil/infrastructure, and industrial projects. Its extensive product range encompasses core plumbing and heating supplies, such as pipes, valves, fittings, water heaters, and a variety of kitchen and bathroom fixtures and appliances. Beyond these essentials, Ferguson also provides heating, ventilation, air conditioning, and refrigeration (HVAC/R) equipment, as well as fire sprinkler systems and associated components. The company's offerings further extend to specialized water management products like water meters, irrigation and drainage systems, geosynthetics, and stormwater control solutions. Industrial customers can access a broad selection of flanges, general industrial maintenance, repair, and operations (MRO) products, high-density polyethylene (HDPE) materials, custom fabrication products, water and wastewater treatment solutions, and comprehensive pipe, valve, and fitting (PVF) systems. To support its clientele, Ferguson delivers a comprehensive array of services, including expert consultation, strategic advice, and project management. They offer convenient pro pick-up and delivery options, alongside a suite of online tools. Additional support features include quotation services, jobsite delivery and logistics management, advanced digital estimation and design capabilities, specialized advanced metering infrastructure (AMI) services, and supply chain management with equipment rental. Ferguson plc also facilitates product sales through its online platforms. The company maintains a significant operational footprint, boasting a network of 1,679 branches and 11 distribution centers. Established in 1887, Ferguson plc is headquartered in Wokingham, United Kingdom.
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Industrial - Distribution
- CEO
- Kevin Murphy
- Employees
- 35,000
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$45.72B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 1.12
- Avg volume
- 2.06M
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 207.64-271.64
- Exchange
- NYSE
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.