CSL Carlisle Companies Incorporated
Carlisle Companies Incorporated (CSL) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Basic Materials. Listed on NYSE. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. If this ticker has no settled sample yet, treat the numbers as a geometric read, not a track record. Information only, not financial advice.
Broken down below, rising this year inside a going sideways 1.489520059170472-year channel
Price has closed below the channel. Support has failed — treat the buy target with caution.
The next few months are read from the last 12 months, not the last 18 months: that channel fits this stock's recent turns at least as well (77% against 62%) and it is the one price is respecting now. The last 18 months stay as context: going sideways, −2% a year. The nearest ceiling overhead is US$383.83, from the last 18 months. What would overturn this: a close below US$325.39 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 18 months
- US$327.09 – US$383.83 Sideways channel, −2% a year
- 12 months read from
- US$325.39 – US$401.53 Rising channel, +9% a year
- Position in that channel
- -14% below the floor of it — 0% is the floor, 100% the ceiling
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -38% from US$471.6714 Oct 2024 → 20 Nov 2025
- Whose problem it was
- This company0 of 3 Construction Materials peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Temporary falls like it have resolved on the record
- Regained so far
- 12%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 80% of 1001 comparable falls came back, typically in 83 days measured across every stock we hold history for, its peer group being too small
The trend broke in October 2024: price fell 38% from 471.67 to 293.54 by November 2025, and has regained 12% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. The wire that week: “Baird Maintains Outperform on Carlisle Companies, Raises Price Target to $506”. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 38% here have come back to the old high 80% of the time (1001 comparable falls), typically in 83 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it. Priced from that: 478.15 within 2276 days, reached 80% of the time in 1001 comparable falls — about 0.02% a day held.
Reported at the time: Baird Maintains Outperform on Carlisle Companies, Raises Price Target to $506 — 15 Oct 2024
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (18 months)
- Lower trend line (18 months)
- The same lines over the last 12 months
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Our target
No published call today because price has broken 3.6% below the channel floor, which is a fall out of the trend rather than a dip within it. No alerts are sent. The buy and target below are still this site's read of the fitted channel.
Buy now
US$314.71
last close · 18 Sept 2026
Channel buy is US$327.10; last close is the better price available now.
Our target
US$366.35
by 18 Dec 2026
Projected move
16.4%
gross, before costs
Last close is our buy — the best price available now.
- Upper line touches
- 3
- Lower line touches
- 7
- Fit confidence
- 62%
- Fitted
- 18 Sept 2026
About Carlisle Companies Incorporated
Carlisle Companies Incorporated operates as a manufacturer and supplier of building envelope products and solutions in the United States, Europe, North America, and internationally. It operates through two segments, Carlisle Construction Materials (CCM) and Carlisle Weatherproofing Technologies (CWT). The CCM segment offers single-ply roofing solutions, including ethylene propylene diene monomer, thermoplastic polyolefin, polyvinyl chloride membrane, polyiso insulation, and engineered metal roofing and wall panel systems for commercial and residential buildings. Its CWT segment provides waterproofing and moisture protection products; protective roofing underlayment; fully integrated liquid and sheet applied air/vapor barriers; sealants/primers and flashing systems; roof coatings and mastics; spray polyurethane foam and coating systems for a range of thermal protection applications and other premium polyurethane products; block-molded expanded polystyrene insulation; engineered products for HVAC applications; and products for a variety of industrial and surfacing applications. The company sells its products under the Carlisle SynTec, Versico, WeatherBond, Hunter Panels, Resitrix, and Hertalan brands. The company was founded in 1917 and is headquartered in Scottsdale, Arizona.
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- Industry
- Construction Materials
- CEO
- D. Christian Koch
- Employees
- 5,900
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$13.57B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 0.83
- Avg volume
- 493.62K
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 293.43-432.91
- Exchange
- NYSE
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.