CSCO Cisco Systems, Inc.
Cisco Systems, Inc. (CSCO) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Technology. Listed on NASDAQ. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. On this symbol, 9 comparable calls have settled; 66.7% reached the published sell target. Information only, not financial advice.
Mid-channel, rising on both timeframes
Price is between the two trend lines. Nothing to act on yet.
Read from the last 12 months of history we hold: rising, drifting +86% a year. The target of US$128.20 is below the nearest ceiling (US$128.67), so it does not depend on a breakout. What would overturn this: a close below US$87.48 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 12 months read from
- US$87.52 – US$128.72 Rising channel, +86% a year
- Position in that channel
- 49% 0% at the floor, 100% at the ceiling
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (12 months)
- Lower trend line (12 months)
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Suggested path
Buy now
US$107.72
last close · 16 Sept 2026
Channel buy is US$111.47; last close is the better price available now.
Our target
US$128.20
by 18 Nov 2026
Projected move
19.0%
gross, before costs
Last close is our buy — the best price available now.
The lines are drawn where this stock has actually turned: 2 touches on the ceiling, 5 on the floor, each fitted to the slope that catches the most of them. Buying one average daily range below its 50-day mean, on heavier volume than usual and while it is still above its 200-day mean, has come up 791 times; measured against the 6% floor — the least a call has to be worth to be worth making, not what it aims at — 73% cleared it, typically in 34 days, with price going about 5% against the entry along the way (63% in the worst case we have on record). Trades that have not reached the target within 3 months are counted as misses, whatever they are worth at the time. The prices above are this stock’s own — its average, its volatility — but the setup is the same one we apply everywhere: derived on eight unrelated tickers, then confirmed on 87 others it was never fitted to. We deliberately do not tune it to each stock: doing so scores worse on history the tuning never saw — 58% against 71% — because it fits the past rather than the future. On this stock the setup has come up 8 times so far, reaching target 75% of the time — too few to mean much on its own. The sell price comes from where this stock is projected to be, not from a minimum worth taking: the fitted path reaches 20% above the entry within 90 days, and of the sizes that path supports, 15% is the one that has returned the most per day of money tied up here — measured over the 10 times this entry has come up on this chart, reached 60% of the time, typically in 63 days. Smaller sizes got there sooner but paid less for the weeks they used; larger ones need a break above the projected ceiling, which is not the base case. The date published is whichever is later: that typical time, or the day the projected path itself reaches the price. It is a prediction, so it can be revised: if the run tops out before it gets there, the target is cut to what is actually on the table and you are told the same day. An ordinary pullback is not treated as topping out — those go on to make a new high about 8 times in 10, so they are ridden through. What triggers the revision is price closing below its 50-day trend and staying there, after which the odds of recovery fall to roughly 3 in 10.
On this stock's own history these rules produced 9 settled calls, of which 6 reached target (66.7%), with an average best move of 9.8%. See the full record.
- Upper line touches
- 2
- Lower line touches
- 5
- Fit confidence
- 69%
- Fitted
- 16 Sept 2026
About Cisco Systems, Inc.
Cisco Systems, Inc. is a leading global technology company focused on designing, producing, and marketing Internet Protocol (IP)-based networking equipment, software, and associated products within the communications and information technology industries. The company operates extensively across major regions including the Americas, Europe, the Middle East, Africa, and the Asia Pacific, specifically covering Japan and China. Its comprehensive product lineup features switching solutions for both enterprise campuses and data centers. Cisco's enterprise routing segment is crucial for securely and reliably interconnecting public, private, wired, and mobile networks, ensuring vital connectivity across corporate campuses, data centers, and branch offices. Additionally, the company provides a range of wireless products offering seamless indoor and outdoor roaming for voice, video, and data applications. Security forms a significant pillar of its offerings, encompassing network defense, identity and access management, secure access service edge (SASE), alongside threat intelligence, detection, and response capabilities. For collaboration, Cisco delivers the Webex Suite, dedicated devices, contact center platforms, and communication platform-as-a-service (CPaaS). These end-to-end collaboration solutions are adaptable, available in cloud, on-premise, or hybrid environments, facilitating clients' migration to cloud-based systems. Moreover, their observability suite provides network assurance, monitoring, and analytics. Beyond its product portfolio, Cisco offers extensive customer support and services, including technical assistance, advanced professional services, and advisory consulting. The company serves a broad clientele, from small and large businesses to public institutions, governmental agencies, and service providers. Products and services are distributed directly by Cisco, as well as through a diverse network of system integrators, service providers, other resellers, and distributors. Cisco Systems, Inc. also engages in strategic collaborations with other industry players. Founded in 1984, the company is headquartered in San Jose, California.
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Communication Equipment
- CEO
- Charles H. Robbins
- Employees
- 86,200
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- 25/100
- Profitability
- 81/100
- Financial health
- 51/100
- Cash generation
- 48/100
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$437.66B
- Enterprise value
- US$459.97B
- Beta
- 1.01
- Avg volume
- 23.90M
- Revenue per share
- 16.02
- Dividend yield
- 1.49%
- 52-week range
- 66.13-130.37
- Exchange
- NASDAQ
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- 33.05
- PEG
- 1.06
- Price / sales
- 6.91
- Price / book
- 8.73
- EV / EBITDA
- 22.98
- Gross margin
- 64.52%
- Operating margin
- 24.27%
- Net margin
- 20.95%
- Current ratio
- 0.93
- Quick ratio
- 0.79
- Debt / equity
- 0.59
- Interest cover
- 10.45
Income statement
| Year | Revenue | Gross profit | Operating income | Net income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | US$63.33B | US$40.86B | US$15.37B | US$13.27B | US$3.33 |
| 2025 | US$56.65B | US$36.79B | US$11.76B | US$10.18B | US$2.55 |
| 2024 | US$53.80B | US$34.83B | US$12.18B | US$10.32B | US$2.54 |
| 2023 | US$57.00B | US$35.75B | US$15.03B | US$12.61B | US$3.07 |
| 2022 | US$51.56B | US$32.25B | US$13.97B | US$11.81B | US$2.82 |
Balance sheet
| Year | Total assets | Total liabilities | Total equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | US$129.64B | US$79.35B | US$50.28B |
| 2025 | US$122.29B | US$75.45B | US$46.84B |
| 2024 | US$124.41B | US$78.96B | US$45.46B |
| 2023 | US$101.85B | US$57.50B | US$44.35B |
| 2022 | US$94.00B | US$54.23B | US$39.77B |
Cash flow
| Year | Operating cash flow | Free cash flow | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | US$14.18B | US$12.77B | US$13.27B |
| 2025 | US$14.19B | US$13.29B | US$10.45B |
| 2024 | US$10.88B | US$10.21B | US$10.32B |
| 2023 | US$19.89B | US$19.04B | US$12.61B |
| 2022 | US$13.23B | US$12.75B | US$11.81B |
EPS forecasts
| Period | Est. EPS | Est. revenue | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | US$2.29 | US$54.18B | 15 |
| 2025 | US$3.79 | US$56.62B | 17 |
| 2026 | US$4.28 | US$62.92B | 14 |
| 2027 | US$5.13 | US$73.10B | 14 |
| 2028 | US$5.60 | US$78.25B | 14 |
| 2029 | US$6.00 | US$82.80B | 6 |
Analyst view
- Target (mean)
- US$131.73
- Target (high)
- US$150.00
- Target (low)
- US$110.00
- Strong buy
- 0
- Buy
- 38
- Hold
- 35
- Sell
- 1
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.