CRH CRH plc
CRH plc (CRH) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Basic Materials. Listed on NYSE. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. If this ticker has no settled sample yet, treat the numbers as a geometric read, not a track record. Information only, not financial advice.
Broken down below, falling on both timeframes
Price has closed below the channel. Support has failed — treat the buy target with caution.
Read from the last 12 months of history we hold: falling, drifting −20% a year. The target of US$131.97 sits above the nearest ceiling (US$110.13), so reaching it means breaking a line this stock has repeatedly turned at. What would overturn this: a close below US$91.76 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 12 months read from
- US$91.74 – US$110.13 Falling channel, −20% a year
- Position in that channel
- -28% below the floor of it — 0% is the floor, 100% the ceiling
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -33% from US$130.3212 Jan 2026 → 10 Sept 2026
- Whose problem it was
- This company1 of 3 Construction Materials peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Temporary falls like it have resolved on the record
- Regained so far
- 0%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 84% of 1198 comparable falls came back, typically in 71 days measured across every stock we hold history for, its peer group being too small
The trend broke in January 2026: price fell 33% from 130.32 to 87.66 by September 2026, and has regained 0% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. The wire that week: “Citigroup Maintains Buy on CRH, Raises Price Target to $155”. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 33% here have come back to the old high 84% of the time (1198 comparable falls), typically in 71 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it. Priced from that: 131.97 within 64 days, reached 84% of the time in 1198 comparable falls — about 0.79% a day held.
The buy and sell prices below are priced off this recovery rather than off the channel: it is the better expected return per day held once each is charged for the odds of working.
Reported at the time: Citigroup Maintains Buy on CRH, Raises Price Target to $155 — 8 Jan 2026
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (12 months)
- Lower trend line (12 months)
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Suggested path
Buy now
US$86.70
last close · 16 Sept 2026
Channel buy is US$87.69; last close is the better price available now.
Our target
US$131.97
by 19 Nov 2026
Projected move
52.2%
gross, before costs
Last close is our buy — the best price available now.
The trend broke in January 2026: price fell 33% from 130.32 to 87.66 by September 2026, and has regained 0% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. The wire that week: “Citigroup Maintains Buy on CRH, Raises Price Target to $155”. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 33% here have come back to the old high 84% of the time (1198 comparable falls), typically in 71 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it. Priced from that: 131.97 within 64 days, reached 84% of the time in 1198 comparable falls — about 0.79% a day held. The entry is today's price, not a dip level: the fall is behind it and the evidence measured is what these recoveries paid from here, so waiting for a lower entry would be waiting for something the record does not say is coming. Of 1198 comparable falls across every stock we hold history for, 84% were back at the old high within 71 days of the low, and the ones that got there gave up about 10% along the way — so expect to be underwater before it works. The target is the median level they regained, which is short of the old high of 130.32 because not all of them saw it again. It is a prediction and it is revised the same way any other is: if price loses its 50-day trend and stays below it, the recovery is treated as failed rather than delayed.
- Upper line touches
- 4
- Lower line touches
- 4
- Fit confidence
- 70%
- Fitted
- 16 Sept 2026
About CRH plc
CRH plc, together with its subsidiaries, provides building materials solutions in Ireland, the United States, the United Kingdom, rest of Europe, and internationally. It operates through three segments: Americas Materials Solutions, Americas Building Solutions, and International Solutions. The company offers building materials for the construction and maintenance of public infrastructure, and commercial and residential buildings, as well as construction and renovation of transportation infrastructure, critical utility networks, commercial and residential buildings, and outdoor living spaces; paving and construction services; and produces and sells aggregates, cementitious materials, ready mixed concrete and mortars, and asphalt. It also manufactures, supplies, and delivers building products for the built environment in communities in North America; and provides building and infrastructure solutions for complex critical utility infrastructure, such as water, energy, transportation, and telecommunications projects, and outdoor living solutions for private and public spaces. In addition, the company produces and supplies precast and pre-stressed concrete products comprising vaults, pipes, and manholes; and concrete and polymer-based products, such as underground vaults, drainage systems, enclosures, and modular precast structures for applications in transportation, water, energy, and telecommunications markets. Further, it provides crushed stone, sand, and gravel; granite, limestone, and sandstone; fly ash, pozzolans, synthetic gypsum, calcined clay, and ground granulated blast-furnace slags; fencing and railing systems, lawn and garden products, and packaged concrete mixes; and concrete masonry, hardscape and related products, including pavers, blocks and curbs, retaining walls, and slabs. CRH plc was founded in 1936 and is based in Dublin, Ireland.
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- Industry
- Construction Materials
- CEO
- Jim Mintern
- Employees
- 83,032
- Country
- IE
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$59.17B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 1.20
- Avg volume
- 4.64M
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 86.84-131.55
- Exchange
- NYSE
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.