CPRT Copart, Inc.
Copart, Inc. (CPRT) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Industrials. Listed on NASDAQ. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. If this ticker has no settled sample yet, treat the numbers as a geometric read, not a track record. Information only, not financial advice.
In the sell zone, falling on both timeframes
Price has run up to the upper trend line — the level it has repeatedly stalled at.
The next few months are read from the last 12 months, not the last 9 months: that channel fits this stock's recent turns at least as well (75% against 76%) and it is the one price is respecting now. The last 9 months stay as context: falling, −38% a year. The target of US$32.77 is below the nearest ceiling (US$34.31), so it does not depend on a breakout. What would overturn this: a close below US$24.64 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 9 months
- US$24.71 – US$34.31 Falling channel, −38% a year
- 12 months read from
- US$24.64 – US$30.31 Falling channel, −39% a year
- Position in that channel
- 109% above the ceiling of it — 0% is the floor, 100% the ceiling
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -57% from US$63.8316 May 2025 → 21 July 2026
- Whose problem it was
- This companyno peer group to compare against
- Does it resolve?
- Unsettled too close to a coin toss on the record to call
- Regained so far
- 10%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 56% of 555 comparable falls came back, typically in 140 days measured across every stock we hold history for, its peer group being too small
The trend broke in May 2025: price fell 57% from 63.83 to 27.16 by July 2026, and has regained 10% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. The wire that week: “If You Invested $100 In This Stock 15 Years Ago, You Would Have This Much Today”. What happens next is not settled: falls of about 57% here have come back to the old high 56% of the time (555 comparable falls), typically in 140 days, which is too close to a coin toss to price a recovery from.
Reported at the time: If You Invested $100 In This Stock 15 Years Ago, You Would Have This Much Today — 12 May 2025
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (9 months)
- Lower trend line (9 months)
- The same lines over the last 12 months
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Suggested path
Buy at or below
US$29.26
level as at 7 Oct 2026
Our target
US$32.77
by 9 Nov 2026
Projected move
12.0%
gross, before costs
Price sits between our buy level and our target.
The lines are drawn where this stock has actually turned: 2 touches on the ceiling, 3 on the floor, each fitted to the slope that catches the most of them. Buying one average daily range below its 50-day mean, on heavier volume than usual and while it is still above its 200-day mean, has come up 791 times; measured against the 6% floor — the least a call has to be worth to be worth making, not what it aims at — 73% cleared it, typically in 34 days, with price going about 5% against the entry along the way (63% in the worst case we have on record). Trades that have not reached the target within 3 months are counted as misses, whatever they are worth at the time. The prices above are this stock’s own — its average, its volatility — but the setup is the same one we apply everywhere: derived on eight unrelated tickers, then confirmed on 87 others it was never fitted to. We deliberately do not tune it to each stock: doing so scores worse on history the tuning never saw — 58% against 71% — because it fits the past rather than the future. On this stock the setup has come up 7 times so far, reaching target 71% of the time — too few to mean much on its own. The sell price comes from where this stock is projected to be, not from a minimum worth taking: the fitted path reaches 15% above the entry within 90 days, and of the sizes that path supports, 12% is the one that has returned the most per day of money tied up here — measured over the 9 times this entry has come up on this chart, reached 56% of the time, typically in 33 days. Smaller sizes got there sooner but paid less for the weeks they used; larger ones need a break above the projected ceiling, which is not the base case. The date published is whichever is later: that typical time, or the day the projected path itself reaches the price. It is a prediction, so it can be revised: if the run tops out before it gets there, the target is cut to what is actually on the table and you are told the same day. An ordinary pullback is not treated as topping out — those go on to make a new high about 8 times in 10, so they are ridden through. What triggers the revision is price closing below its 50-day trend and staying there, after which the odds of recovery fall to roughly 3 in 10.
- Upper line touches
- 2
- Lower line touches
- 3
- Fit confidence
- 76%
- Fitted
- 16 Sept 2026
About Copart, Inc.
Copart, Inc. stands as a prominent global provider of online vehicle auctions and comprehensive vehicle remarketing services. The company extends its operations across numerous international markets, including the United States, the United Kingdom, Germany, Brazil, Canada, the United Arab Emirates, Spain, Finland, Oman, the Republic of Ireland, and Bahrain. At its core, Copart enables the buying and selling of vehicles over the internet through its sophisticated "virtual bidding" online auction platform. Its extensive range of services supports the entire vehicle disposition process, encompassing aspects such as direct online access for sellers, expert salvage and general vehicle valuation, end-of-life vehicle handling, logistics and transportation management, and dedicated vehicle inspection facilities. Additional offerings include on-demand reporting, efficient title processing and express services, loan payoff assistance, adaptable vehicle processing programs, and direct "Buy It Now" purchase options, alongside specialized services for dealerships. Beyond its primary auction site, Copart manages several direct vehicle acquisition and sales platforms, such as BluCar, CashForCars.com, CashForCars.ca, CashForCars.de, CashForCars.co.uk, and Cash-for-cars.ie. Furthermore, its Copart Recycling service offers the public an avenue to procure individual parts from salvaged and end-of-life automobiles. The company is also at the forefront of technological innovation within its field. Its proprietary Copart 360 system generates detailed, 360-degree interactive views of both the interiors and exteriors of cars, trucks, and vans. Another key tool, IntelliSeller, is an automated platform that leverages Copart's vast vehicle and sales data to assist sellers in making informed decisions about their auction strategies. Expanding its scope, Copart also provides remarketing services for wholesale construction, agricultural, and fleet equipment through its Purple Wave Inc. subsidiary, which conducts no-reserve online auctions. Additionally, it handles the remarketing of wholesale powersport vehicles via both live and online auction formats. Copart serves a diverse client base, including licensed vehicle dismantlers, rebuilders, repair professionals, used vehicle dealers, exporters, and members of the general public. Established in 1982, Copart, Inc. is headquartered in Dallas, Texas.
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Specialty Business Services
- CEO
- Jeffrey Liaw
- Employees
- 13,800
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$29.65B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 1.03
- Avg volume
- 11.10M
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 26.81-49.05
- Exchange
- NASDAQ
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.