CIFR Cipher Digital Inc. Common Stock
Cipher Digital Inc. Common Stock (CIFR) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Financial Services. Listed on NASDAQ. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (TheilβSen, log-price), then projected 3 months. If this ticker has no settled sample yet, treat the numbers as a geometric read, not a track record. Information only, not financial advice.
In the buy zone (provisional)
Price is sitting on the lower trend line β the level that has repeatedly held.
Read from the last 2 years of history we hold: rising, drifting more than +100% a year. The target of US$31.35 is below the nearest ceiling (US$35.59), so it does not depend on a breakout. What would overturn this: a close below US$14.90 β the floor of the channel being read β after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 2 years read from
- US$14.90 β US$35.59 Rising channel, more than +100% a year
- Position in that channel
- 9% 0% at the floor, 100% at the ceiling
Provisional: fitted to a short history, so treat the lines as a first read rather than a projection. No trade is suggested and alerts stay off until there is more data.
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -50% from US$29.2018 June 2026 β 1 Sept 2026
- Whose problem it was
- This company2 of 6 Finance Services peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Temporary falls like it have resolved on the record
- Regained so far
- 13%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 67% of 4 comparable falls came back, typically in 18 days measured on its own peer group
The trend broke in June 2026: price fell 50% from 29.20 to 14.60 by September 2026, and has regained 13% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. The wire that week: βWhy Cipher Digital Stock Is Rising After Its New Grid Strategy Hireβ. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 50% here have come back to the old high 67% of the time (4 comparable falls), typically in 18 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it. Priced from that: 31.35 within 127 days, reached 67% of the time in 4 comparable falls β about 0.71% a day held.
The buy and sell prices below are priced off this recovery rather than off the channel: it is the better expected return per day held once each is charged for the odds of working.
Reported at the time: Why Cipher Digital Stock Is Rising After Its New Grid Strategy Hire β 16 June 2026
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (2 years)
- Lower trend line (2 years)
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Our target
The lines above are fitted to a short history, which is not a base we will project a published call from. The buy and target below are still this site's read of those lines.
Buy at or below
US$16.46
level as at 16 Sept 2026
Our target
US$31.35
by 21 Jan 2027
Projected move
90.4%
gross, before costs
Price sits between our buy level and our target.
- Upper line touches
- 3
- Lower line touches
- 4
- Fit confidence
- 27%
- Fitted
- 16 Sept 2026
Company information
Fundamentals are not available for this instrument from the current data provider.
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.