CEG Constellation Energy Corporation
Constellation Energy Corporation (CEG) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Utilities. Listed on NASDAQ. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. If this ticker has no settled sample yet, treat the numbers as a geometric read, not a track record. Information only, not financial advice.
Mid-channel, falling on both timeframes
Price is between the two trend lines. Nothing to act on yet.
The next few months are read from the last 12 months, not the last 11 months: that channel fits this stock's recent turns at least as well (76% against 76%) and it is the one price is respecting now. The last 11 months stay as context: falling, −32% a year. The nearest ceiling overhead is US$274.83, from the last 11 months. What would overturn this: a close below US$206.77 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 11 months read from
- US$206.62 – US$274.83 Falling channel, −32% a year
- Position in that channel
- 77% 0% at the floor, 100% at the ceiling
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -41% from US$401.0915 Oct 2025 → 1 July 2026
- Whose problem it was
- This company0 of 2 Independent Power Producers peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Temporary falls like it have resolved on the record
- Regained so far
- 14%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 90% of 8 comparable falls came back, typically in 47 days measured on its own peer group
The trend broke in October 2025: price fell 41% from 401.09 to 236.20 by July 2026, and has regained 14% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. The wire that week: “Cenovus Energy Acquires 8.5% Stake In MEG Energy (21,723,540 Shares) To Support Pending Transaction”. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 41% here have come back to the old high 90% of the time (8 comparable falls), typically in 47 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it. Priced from that: 410.04 within 488 days, reached 90% of the time in 8 comparable falls — about 0.12% a day held.
Reported at the time: Cenovus Energy Acquires 8.5% Stake In MEG Energy (21,723,540 Shares) To Support Pending Transaction — 14 Oct 2025
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (11 months)
- Lower trend line (11 months)
- The same lines over the last 12 months
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Our target
No published call today because its projected path only reaches 0.2% above the entry within 90 days, under the 6.0% floor a call has to clear to be worth making. No alerts are sent. The buy and target below are still this site's read of the fitted channel.
Buy at or below
US$206.45
level as at 17 Sept 2026
Our target
US$245.80
by 16 Dec 2026
Projected move
19.1%
gross, before costs
Price is at or through our target.
- Upper line touches
- 3
- Lower line touches
- 4
- Fit confidence
- 76%
- Fitted
- 16 Sept 2026
About Constellation Energy Corporation
Constellation Energy Corporation operates as a U.S.-based firm dedicated to producing and distributing electricity. Its activities are organized across five primary geographical segments: the Mid-Atlantic, Midwest, New York, ERCOT, and various other power markets. In addition to electrical power, the company supplies natural gas, sustainable energy solutions, and an array of associated energy products and services. Possessing a significant generation capability of 32,400 megawatts, its power portfolio incorporates diverse sources such as nuclear, wind, solar, natural gas, and hydroelectric facilities. The company serves a wide spectrum of clients, including utility distributors, local government bodies, cooperatives, along with commercial, industrial, public sector, and household consumers. Founded in 2021, its corporate headquarters are situated in Baltimore, Maryland. Constellation Energy Corporation previously operated as a subsidiary of Exelon Corporation.
- Sector
- Utilities
- Industry
- Independent Power Producers
- CEO
- Joseph Dominguez
- Employees
- 15,315
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$102.25B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 1.12
- Avg volume
- 3.35M
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 228.63-412.7
- Exchange
- NASDAQ
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.