CDE Coeur Mining, Inc.
Coeur Mining, Inc. (CDE) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Energy. Listed on NYSE. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. If this ticker has no settled sample yet, treat the numbers as a geometric read, not a track record. Information only, not financial advice.
Broken out above, going sideways this year inside a falling 0.5529141075279046-year channel
Price has closed above the channel. The fitted trend may no longer describe this stock.
The next few months are read from the last 7 months, the stretch whose swings the lines actually follow, because the last 12 months alone do not contain enough turns to fit reliably (25% against 87%). The last 12 months stay as context: going sideways, −3% a year. The target of US$27.45 sits above the nearest ceiling (US$21.95, from the last 12 months), so reaching it means breaking a line this stock has repeatedly turned at. What would overturn this: a close below US$11.63 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 7 months read from
- US$11.63 – US$17.51 Falling channel, −27% a year
- 12 months
- US$13.97 – US$21.95 Sideways channel, −3% a year
- Position in that channel
- 125% above the ceiling of it — 0% is the floor, 100% the ceiling
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -48% from US$27.1227 Feb 2026 → 20 July 2026
- Whose problem it was
- Its sector5 of 7 Gold and Silver Ores peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Temporary falls like it have resolved on the record
- Regained so far
- 34%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 56% of 14 comparable falls came back, typically in 56 days measured on its own peer group
The trend broke in February 2026: price fell 48% from 27.12 to 14.18 by July 2026, and has regained 34% of that fall since. It was not this company alone: 5 of 7 Gold and Silver Ores peers fell as far within weeks of it, so the fall was the sector repricing rather than news about this business. The wire that week: “Here's How Much $100 Invested In Coeur Mining 10 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today”. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 48% here have come back to the old high 56% of the time (14 comparable falls), typically in 56 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it. Priced from that: 27.45 within 116 days, reached 56% of the time in 14 comparable falls — about 0.41% a day held.
The buy and sell prices below are priced off this recovery rather than off the channel: it is the better expected return per day held once each is charged for the odds of working.
Reported at the time: Here's How Much $100 Invested In Coeur Mining 10 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today — 25 Feb 2026
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (7 months)
- Lower trend line (7 months)
- The same lines over the last 12 months
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Suggested path
Buy at or below
US$18.64
level as at 16 Sept 2026
Our target
US$27.45
by 10 Jan 2027
Projected move
47.2%
gross, before costs
Price sits between our buy level and our target.
The trend broke in February 2026: price fell 48% from 27.12 to 14.18 by July 2026, and has regained 34% of that fall since. It was not this company alone: 5 of 7 Gold and Silver Ores peers fell as far within weeks of it, so the fall was the sector repricing rather than news about this business. The wire that week: “Here's How Much $100 Invested In Coeur Mining 10 Years Ago Would Be Worth Today”. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 48% here have come back to the old high 56% of the time (14 comparable falls), typically in 56 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it. Priced from that: 27.45 within 116 days, reached 56% of the time in 14 comparable falls — about 0.41% a day held. The entry is today's price, not a dip level: the fall is behind it and the evidence measured is what these recoveries paid from here, so waiting for a lower entry would be waiting for something the record does not say is coming. Of 14 comparable falls in Gold and Silver Ores, 56% were back at the old high within 56 days of the low, and the ones that got there gave up about 24% along the way — so expect to be underwater before it works. The target is the median level they regained, which is short of the old high of 27.12 because not all of them saw it again. It is a prediction and it is revised the same way any other is: if price loses its 50-day trend and stays below it, the recovery is treated as failed rather than delayed.
- Upper line touches
- 4
- Lower line touches
- 2
- Fit confidence
- 87%
- Fitted
- 16 Sept 2026
Company information
Fundamentals are not available for this instrument from the current data provider.
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.