CB Chubb Limited
Chubb Limited (CB) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Financial Services. Listed on NYSE. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. If this ticker has no settled sample yet, treat the numbers as a geometric read, not a track record. Information only, not financial advice.
Mid-channel, rising on both timeframes
Price is between the two trend lines. Nothing to act on yet.
The next few months are read from the last 9 months, the stretch whose swings the lines actually follow, because the last 12 months alone do not contain enough turns to fit reliably (59% against 70%). The last 12 months stay as context: rising, +27% a year. The target of US$382.30 sits above the nearest ceiling (US$380.51, from the last 12 months), so reaching it means breaking a line this stock has repeatedly turned at. What would overturn this: a close below US$305.17 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 9 months read from
- US$305.17 – US$380.63 Rising channel, +17% a year
- 12 months
- US$324.11 – US$380.51 Rising channel, +27% a year
- Position in that channel
- 48% 0% at the floor, 100% at the ceiling
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (9 months)
- Lower trend line (9 months)
- The same lines over the last 12 months
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Suggested path
Buy at or below
US$341.34
level as at 16 Sept 2026
Our target
US$382.30
by 13 Oct 2026
Projected move
12.0%
gross, before costs
Price sits between our buy level and our target.
The lines are drawn where this stock has actually turned: 3 touches on the ceiling, 4 on the floor, each fitted to the slope that catches the most of them. Buying one average daily range below its 50-day mean, on heavier volume than usual and while it is still above its 200-day mean, has come up 791 times; measured against the 6% floor — the least a call has to be worth to be worth making, not what it aims at — 73% cleared it, typically in 34 days, with price going about 5% against the entry along the way (63% in the worst case we have on record). Trades that have not reached the target within 3 months are counted as misses, whatever they are worth at the time. The prices above are this stock’s own — its average, its volatility — but the setup is the same one we apply everywhere: derived on eight unrelated tickers, then confirmed on 87 others it was never fitted to. We deliberately do not tune it to each stock: doing so scores worse on history the tuning never saw — 58% against 71% — because it fits the past rather than the future. On this stock the setup has come up 8 times so far, reaching target 63% of the time — too few to mean much on its own. The sell price comes from where this stock is projected to be, not from a minimum worth taking: the fitted path reaches 16% above the entry within 90 days, and of the sizes that path supports, 12% is the one that has returned the most per day of money tied up here — measured over the 9 times this entry has come up on this chart, reached 56% of the time, typically in 27 days. Smaller sizes got there sooner but paid less for the weeks they used; larger ones need a break above the projected ceiling, which is not the base case. The date published is whichever is later: that typical time, or the day the projected path itself reaches the price. It is a prediction, so it can be revised: if the run tops out before it gets there, the target is cut to what is actually on the table and you are told the same day. An ordinary pullback is not treated as topping out — those go on to make a new high about 8 times in 10, so they are ridden through. What triggers the revision is price closing below its 50-day trend and staying there, after which the odds of recovery fall to roughly 3 in 10.
- Upper line touches
- 3
- Lower line touches
- 4
- Fit confidence
- 70%
- Fitted
- 16 Sept 2026
About Chubb Limited
Chubb Limited, headquartered in Zurich, Switzerland, is a global insurer and reinsurer, offering a broad spectrum of products across various markets. In North America, its Commercial Property & Casualty (P&C) division caters to businesses of all scales, from large corporations to small enterprises, providing a wide range of policies. These encompass commercial property, casualty, workers' compensation, package deals, risk management, financial lines, marine, construction, environmental, medical, cyber risk, surety, and excess casualty, alongside group accident and health insurance. The North America Personal P&C unit serves affluent individuals and high-net-worth families, delivering coverage for homeowners, automobiles (including collector vehicles), valuable possessions, personal and excess liability, travel, and recreational marine risks, complete with related services. Furthermore, its North American Agricultural Insurance arm specializes in multi-peril crop and crop-hail protection, as well as policies for farm and ranch properties and commercial agriculture. Internationally, the Overseas General Insurance segment provides traditional commercial P&C coverage and unique solutions in areas such as financial lines, marine, energy, aviation, political risk, and construction. This division also extends group accident and health, plus conventional and specialized personal lines to corporate clients, mid-market businesses, and smaller customers, distributing products through retail brokers, agents, and other channels. Operating under the Chubb Tempest Re brand, the Global Reinsurance segment furnishes both traditional and specialty reinsurance offerings to property and casualty insurers worldwide. Additionally, Chubb's Life Insurance division features an array of protection and savings products, including whole life, endowment plans, individual and group term life, medical and health, personal accident, credit life, universal life, and unit-linked contracts. The company primarily distributes its extensive range of insurance and reinsurance solutions through brokers. Chubb Limited, which was founded in 1985, was previously known as ACE Limited before adopting its current name in January 2016.
- Sector
- Financial Services
- Industry
- Insurance - Property & Casualty
- CEO
- Evan G. Greenberg
- Employees
- 45,000
- Country
- CH
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$130.50B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 0.38
- Avg volume
- 1.73M
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 265.3-365.91
- Exchange
- NYSE
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.