AVGO Broadcom Inc.
Broadcom Inc. (AVGO) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Technology. Listed on NASDAQ. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. On this symbol, 8 comparable calls have settled; 62.5% reached the published sell target. Information only, not financial advice.
Broken down below
Price has closed below the channel. Support has failed — treat the buy target with caution.
Read from the last 9 months of history we hold: rising, drifting +25% a year. The target of US$488.78 sits above the nearest ceiling (US$451.81), so reaching it means breaking a line this stock has repeatedly turned at. What would overturn this: a close below US$393.71 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 9 months read from
- US$393.71 – US$451.81 Rising channel, +25% a year
- Position in that channel
- -93% below the floor of it — 0% is the floor, 100% the ceiling
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -29% from US$481.152 June 2026 → 15 Sept 2026
- Whose problem it was
- This company7 of 24 Semiconductors peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Temporary falls like it have resolved on the record
- Regained so far
- 0%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 94% of 63 comparable falls came back, typically in 66 days measured on its own peer group
The trend broke in June 2026: price fell 29% from 481.15 to 339.30 by September 2026, and has regained 0% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. The wire that week: “Susquehanna Maintains Positive on Broadcom, Raises Price Target to $490”. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 29% here have come back to the old high 94% of the time (63 comparable falls), typically in 66 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it. Priced from that: 488.78 within 64 days, reached 94% of the time in 63 comparable falls — about 0.69% a day held.
The buy and sell prices below are priced off this recovery rather than off the channel: it is the better expected return per day held once each is charged for the odds of working.
Reported at the time: Susquehanna Maintains Positive on Broadcom, Raises Price Target to $490 — 28 May 2026
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (9 months)
- Lower trend line (9 months)
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Suggested path
Buy at or below
US$339.30
level as at 16 Sept 2026
Our target
US$488.78
by 19 Nov 2026
Projected move
44.1%
gross, before costs
Price sits between our buy level and our target.
The trend broke in June 2026: price fell 29% from 481.15 to 339.30 by September 2026, and has regained 0% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. The wire that week: “Susquehanna Maintains Positive on Broadcom, Raises Price Target to $490”. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 29% here have come back to the old high 94% of the time (63 comparable falls), typically in 66 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it. Priced from that: 488.78 within 64 days, reached 94% of the time in 63 comparable falls — about 0.69% a day held. The entry is today's price, not a dip level: the fall is behind it and the evidence measured is what these recoveries paid from here, so waiting for a lower entry would be waiting for something the record does not say is coming. Of 63 comparable falls in Semiconductors, 94% were back at the old high within 66 days of the low, and the ones that got there gave up about 9% along the way — so expect to be underwater before it works. The target is the median level they regained, which is short of the old high of 481.15 because not all of them saw it again. It is a prediction and it is revised the same way any other is: if price loses its 50-day trend and stays below it, the recovery is treated as failed rather than delayed.
On this stock's own history these rules produced 8 settled calls, of which 5 reached target (62.5%), with an average best move of 9.3%. See the full record.
- Upper line touches
- 3
- Lower line touches
- 3
- Fit confidence
- 69%
- Fitted
- 16 Sept 2026
About Broadcom Inc.
Broadcom Inc. is a prominent global technology enterprise focused on the innovation, development, and supply of advanced semiconductor solutions and critical infrastructure software. The company's headquarters are situated in San Jose, California, and it maintains a significant team of 19,000 full-time staff. Its operations are segmented into four primary divisions: Wired Infrastructure, Wireless Communications, Enterprise Storage, and Industrial & Other. Broadcom’s diverse product range is integrated into numerous end-user technologies, including enterprise and data center networking, residential internet solutions, digital television receivers, telecommunications apparatus, mobile phones, data center servers and storage architectures, industrial automation, alternative and power generation systems, and electronic display technologies. The company's product offerings extend from fundamental discrete components to intricate sub-systems incorporating various device categories. This also encompasses specialized firmware designed to facilitate interaction between analog and digital systems, alongside mechanical hardware engineered to connect with optoelectronic or capacitive sensing technologies.
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Semiconductors
- CEO
- Hock E. Tan
- Employees
- 33,000
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$1.72T
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 1.46
- Avg volume
- 24.96M
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 289.96-495
- Exchange
- NASDAQ
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.