AMD Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Technology. Listed on NASDAQ. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. On this symbol, 7 comparable calls have settled; 71.4% reached the published sell target. Information only, not financial advice.
Mid-channel, rising on both timeframes
Price is between the two trend lines. Nothing to act on yet.
Read from the last 12 months of history we hold: rising, drifting more than +100% a year. The target of US$513.95 is below the nearest ceiling (US$865.21), so it does not depend on a breakout. What would overturn this: a close below US$170.17 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 12 months read from
- US$170.11 – US$867.93 Rising channel, more than +100% a year
- Position in that channel
- 54% 0% at the floor, 100% at the ceiling
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -26% from US$580.5230 June 2026 → 29 July 2026
- Whose problem it was
- Its sector15 of 24 Semiconductors peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Temporary falls like it have resolved on the record
- Regained so far
- 55%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 97% of 60 comparable falls came back, typically in 59 days measured on its own peer group
The trend broke in June 2026: price fell 26% from 580.52 to 429.16 by July 2026, and has regained 55% of that fall since. It was not this company alone: 15 of 24 Semiconductors peers fell as far within weeks of it, so the fall was the sector repricing rather than news about this business. The wire that week: “What's Going On With AMD Stock Friday?”. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 26% here have come back to the old high 97% of the time (60 comparable falls), typically in 59 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it. Priced from that: 589.05 within 46 days, reached 97% of the time in 60 comparable falls — about 0.32% a day held.
Reported at the time: What's Going On With AMD Stock Friday? — 26 June 2026
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (12 months)
- Lower trend line (12 months)
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Suggested path
Buy at or below
US$475.88
level as at 19 Sept 2026
Our target
US$513.95
by 29 Sept 2026
Projected move
8.0%
gross, before costs
Price is at or through our target.
The lines are drawn where this stock has actually turned: 2 touches on the ceiling, 4 on the floor, each fitted to the slope that catches the most of them. Buying one average daily range below its 50-day mean, on heavier volume than usual and while it is still above its 200-day mean, has come up 791 times; measured against the 6% floor — the least a call has to be worth to be worth making, not what it aims at — 73% cleared it, typically in 34 days, with price going about 5% against the entry along the way (63% in the worst case we have on record). Trades that have not reached the target within 3 months are counted as misses, whatever they are worth at the time. The prices above are this stock’s own — its average, its volatility — but the setup is the same one we apply everywhere: derived on eight unrelated tickers, then confirmed on 87 others it was never fitted to. We deliberately do not tune it to each stock: doing so scores worse on history the tuning never saw — 58% against 71% — because it fits the past rather than the future. On this stock the setup has come up 10 times so far, reaching target 80% of the time. The sell price comes from where this stock is projected to be, not from a minimum worth taking: the fitted path reaches more than 30% above the entry within 90 days, and of the sizes that path supports, 8% is the one that has returned the most per day of money tied up here — measured over the 9 times this entry has come up on this chart, reached 89% of the time, typically in 10 days. Smaller sizes got there sooner but paid less for the weeks they used; larger ones need a break above the projected ceiling, which is not the base case. The date published is whichever is later: that typical time, or the day the projected path itself reaches the price. It is a prediction, so it can be revised: if the run tops out before it gets there, the target is cut to what is actually on the table and you are told the same day. An ordinary pullback is not treated as topping out — those go on to make a new high about 8 times in 10, so they are ridden through. What triggers the revision is price closing below its 50-day trend and staying there, after which the odds of recovery fall to roughly 3 in 10.
On this stock's own history these rules produced 7 settled calls, of which 5 reached target (71.4%), with an average best move of 19.3%. See the full record.
- Upper line touches
- 2
- Lower line touches
- 4
- Fit confidence
- 66%
- Fitted
- 17 Sept 2026
About Advanced Micro Devices, Inc.
Advanced Micro Devices, Inc. (AMD), established in 1969 and headquartered in Santa Clara, California, operates as a global leader in the semiconductor industry. The company organizes its extensive operations into two primary segments: Computing and Graphics, and Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom. In its Computing and Graphics division, AMD develops a range of products including x86 microprocessors (often as accelerated processing units), chipsets, and various graphics processing units (GPUs), encompassing discrete, integrated, data center, and professional variants, alongside providing development services. The Enterprise, Embedded and Semi-Custom segment focuses on server and embedded processors, bespoke System-on-Chip (SoC) products, and foundational technology for popular game consoles, also offering associated development support. AMD's diverse product lineup features processors for desktop and notebook personal computers under well-known brands such as AMD Ryzen, Ryzen PRO, Ryzen Threadripper, Threadripper PRO, AMD Athlon, Athlon PRO, AMD FX, AMD A-Series, and PRO A-Series. Discrete GPUs for these PCs are offered through the AMD Radeon graphics and AMD Embedded Radeon graphics brands, while professional graphics solutions include AMD Radeon Pro and AMD FirePro. Furthermore, the company provides high-performance accelerators for servers, including Radeon Instinct, Radeon PRO V-series, and AMD Instinct, along with AMD EPYC microprocessors designed for server environments. Its embedded processor solutions span multiple brands, such as AMD Athlon, AMD Geode, AMD Ryzen, AMD EPYC, AMD R-Series, and G-Series. AMD also produces chipsets under its own trademark and crafts customer-specific solutions leveraging its CPU, GPU, and multimedia expertise, including specialized semi-custom SoC products. AMD reaches its wide array of clients, which comprise original equipment manufacturers (OEMs), public cloud service providers, original design manufacturers (ODMs), system integrators, independent distributors, online retailers, and add-in-board manufacturers. The company's sales and distribution network includes its direct sales force, independent distributors, and dedicated sales representatives.
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Semiconductors
- CEO
- Lisa T. Su
- Employees
- 31,000
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- 0/100
- Profitability
- 46/100
- Financial health
- 93/100
- Cash generation
- 40/100
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$835.68B
- Enterprise value
- US$834.87B
- Beta
- 2.48
- Avg volume
- 27.84M
- Revenue per share
- 25.32
- Dividend yield
- 0.00%
- 52-week range
- 149.85-584.73
- Exchange
- NASDAQ
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- 130.08
- PEG
- 1.05
- Price / sales
- 20.23
- Price / book
- 12.43
- EV / EBITDA
- 77.89
- Gross margin
- 53.20%
- Operating margin
- 15.71%
- Net margin
- 15.58%
- Current ratio
- 2.61
- Quick ratio
- 1.91
- Debt / equity
- 0.06
- Interest cover
- 44.14
Income statement
| Year | Revenue | Gross profit | Operating income | Net income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$34.64B | US$17.15B | US$3.69B | US$4.33B | US$2.65 |
| 2024 | US$25.79B | US$12.72B | US$1.90B | US$1.64B | US$1.00 |
| 2023 | US$22.68B | US$10.46B | US$401.00M | US$854.00M | US$0.53 |
| 2022 | US$23.60B | US$10.60B | US$1.26B | US$1.32B | US$0.84 |
| 2021 | US$16.43B | US$7.93B | US$3.65B | US$3.16B | US$2.57 |
Balance sheet
| Year | Total assets | Total liabilities | Total equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$76.93B | US$13.93B | US$63.00B |
| 2024 | US$69.23B | US$11.66B | US$57.57B |
| 2023 | US$67.89B | US$11.99B | US$55.89B |
| 2022 | US$67.58B | US$12.83B | US$54.75B |
| 2021 | US$12.42B | US$4.92B | US$7.50B |
Cash flow
| Year | Operating cash flow | Free cash flow | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$7.71B | US$6.74B | US$4.27B |
| 2024 | US$3.04B | US$2.40B | US$1.64B |
| 2023 | US$1.67B | US$1.12B | US$854.00M |
| 2022 | US$3.56B | US$3.12B | US$1.32B |
| 2021 | US$3.52B | US$3.22B | US$3.16B |
EPS forecasts
| Period | Est. EPS | Est. revenue | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$3.96 | US$34.09B | 32 |
| 2026 | US$7.63 | US$50.91B | 31 |
| 2027 | US$15.88 | US$89.11B | 32 |
| 2028 | US$22.87 | US$123.07B | 21 |
| 2029 | US$31.45 | US$163.97B | 17 |
| 2030 | US$44.75 | US$240.23B | 9 |
Analyst view
- Target (mean)
- US$598.24
- Target (high)
- US$1,250
- Target (low)
- US$260.00
- Strong buy
- 1
- Buy
- 49
- Hold
- 20
- Sell
- 0
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.