AMAT Applied Materials, Inc.
Applied Materials, Inc. (AMAT) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Technology. Listed on NASDAQ. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. On this symbol, 6 comparable calls have settled; 33.3% reached the published sell target. Information only, not financial advice.
Broken down below, rising on both timeframes
Price has closed below the channel. Support has failed — treat the buy target with caution.
Read from the last 12 months of history we hold: rising, drifting more than +100% a year. The target of US$738.14 is below the nearest ceiling (US$1,091), so it does not depend on a breakout. What would overturn this: a close below US$496.39 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 12 months read from
- US$497.04 – US$1,094 Rising channel, more than +100% a year
- Position in that channel
- -13% below the floor of it — 0% is the floor, 100% the ceiling
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -43% from US$723.0830 June 2026 → 16 Sept 2026
- Whose problem it was
- This company7 of 24 Semiconductors peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Temporary falls like it have resolved on the record
- Regained so far
- 1%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 83% of 56 comparable falls came back, typically in 90 days measured on its own peer group
The trend broke in June 2026: price fell 43% from 723.08 to 415.51 by September 2026, and has regained 1% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. The wire that week: “Applied Materials Rolls Out New Suite Of Chipmaking Systems For 3D Chip Architectures”. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 43% here have come back to the old high 83% of the time (56 comparable falls), typically in 90 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it. Priced from that: 738.14 within 88 days, reached 83% of the time in 56 comparable falls — about 0.87% a day held.
The buy and sell prices below are priced off this recovery rather than off the channel: it is the better expected return per day held once each is charged for the odds of working.
Reported at the time: Applied Materials Rolls Out New Suite Of Chipmaking Systems For 3D Chip Architectures — 25 June 2026
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (12 months)
- Lower trend line (12 months)
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Our target
We replayed these rules over this stock's own history and the target was reached on only 2 of 6 calls. Its swings do not respect the channel reliably enough for a published call, and no alerts are sent. The numbers below are still this site's read of the fitted channel.
Buy at or below
US$417.27
level as at 18 Sept 2026
Our target
US$738.14
by 15 Dec 2026
Projected move
76.9%
gross, before costs
Price is at or below our buy level.
On this stock's own history these rules produced 6 settled calls, of which 2 reached target (33.3%), with an average best move of 14.3%. See the full record.
- Upper line touches
- 3
- Lower line touches
- 3
- Fit confidence
- 74%
- Fitted
- 18 Sept 2026
About Applied Materials, Inc.
Applied Materials, Inc. engages in provision of materials engineering solutions used to produce semiconductors. The firm also focuses on design, development, production, and servicing of the critical wafer fabrication tools used for customers to manufacture semiconductors. It operates through the following segments: Semiconductor Systems and Applied Global Services (AGS). The Semiconductor Systems segment includes designing, development, manufacturing and sale of equipment used to fabricate semiconductor chips referred to as integrated circuits. The AGS segment engages in provision of services, spares, and factory automation software to customer fabrication plants globally. The company was founded on November 10, 1967 and is headquartered in Santa Clara, CA.
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Semiconductors
- CEO
- Gary E. Dickerson
- Employees
- 38,900
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$361.22B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 1.62
- Avg volume
- 8.94M
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 158.82-739.67
- Exchange
- NASDAQ
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.