AGI Alamos Gold Inc.
Alamos Gold Inc. (AGI) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Basic Materials. Listed on NYSE. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. If this ticker has no settled sample yet, treat the numbers as a geometric read, not a track record. Information only, not financial advice.
Mid-channel, going sideways on both timeframes
Price is between the two trend lines. Nothing to act on yet.
Read from the last 12 months of history we hold: going sideways, drifting −1% a year. The nearest ceiling overhead is US$37.40. What would overturn this: a close below US$24.02 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 12 months read from
- US$23.99 – US$37.40 Sideways channel, −1% a year
- Position in that channel
- 78% 0% at the floor, 100% at the ceiling
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -50% from US$55.232 Mar 2026 → 31 July 2026
- Whose problem it was
- Its sector3 of 5 Gold peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Unsettled too close to a coin toss on the record to call
- Regained so far
- 23%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 38% of 6 comparable falls came back, typically in 135 days measured on its own peer group
The trend broke in March 2026: price fell 50% from 55.23 to 27.83 by July 2026, and has regained 23% of that fall since. It was not this company alone: 3 of 5 Gold peers fell as far within weeks of it, so the fall was the sector repricing rather than news about this business. What happens next is not settled: falls of about 50% here have come back to the old high 38% of the time (6 comparable falls), typically in 135 days, which is too close to a coin toss to price a recovery from.
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (12 months)
- Lower trend line (12 months)
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Our target
No published call today because its projected path only reaches 4.6% above the entry within 90 days, under the 6.0% floor a call has to clear to be worth making. No alerts are sent. The buy and target below are still this site's read of the fitted channel.
Buy at or below
US$23.98
level as at 17 Sept 2026
Our target
US$31.38
by 16 Dec 2026
Projected move
30.9%
gross, before costs
Price is at or through our target.
- Upper line touches
- 3
- Lower line touches
- 2
- Fit confidence
- 76%
- Fitted
- 16 Sept 2026
About Alamos Gold Inc.
Alamos Gold Inc. operates as a gold producer in Canada and Mexico. It primarily explores for gold deposits. The company was founded in 2003 and is based in Toronto, Canada.
- Sector
- Basic Materials
- Industry
- Gold
- CEO
- John A. McCluskey
- Employees
- 2,400
- Country
- CA
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$15.09B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 1.39
- Avg volume
- 4.28M
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 27.05-55.41
- Exchange
- NYSE
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.