ADI Analog Devices, Inc.
Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Technology. Listed on NASDAQ. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. If this ticker has no settled sample yet, treat the numbers as a geometric read, not a track record. Information only, not financial advice.
Mid-channel
Price is between the two trend lines. Nothing to act on yet.
Read from the last 9 months of history we hold: rising, drifting +49% a year. The target of US$385.50 is below the nearest ceiling (US$465.82), so it does not depend on a breakout. What would overturn this: a close below US$334.11 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 9 months read from
- US$334.11 – US$465.82 Rising channel, +49% a year
- Position in that channel
- 21% 0% at the floor, 100% at the ceiling
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -21% from US$445.5522 June 2026 → 29 July 2026
- Whose problem it was
- Its sector15 of 24 Semiconductors peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Temporary falls like it have resolved on the record
- Regained so far
- 8%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 96% of 47 comparable falls came back, typically in 51 days measured on its own peer group
The trend broke in June 2026: price fell 21% from 445.55 to 353.33 by July 2026, and has regained 8% of that fall since. It was not this company alone: 15 of 24 Semiconductors peers fell as far within weeks of it, so the fall was the sector repricing rather than news about this business. The wire that week: “Here's How Much You Would Have Made Owning Analog Devices Stock In The Last 10 Years”. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 21% here have come back to the old high 96% of the time (47 comparable falls), typically in 51 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it. Priced from that: 449.17 within 605 days, reached 96% of the time in 47 comparable falls — about 0.04% a day held.
Reported at the time: Here's How Much You Would Have Made Owning Analog Devices Stock In The Last 10 Years — 17 June 2026
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (9 months)
- Lower trend line (9 months)
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Suggested path
Buy now
US$362.18
last close · 16 Sept 2026
Channel buy is US$363.68; last close is the better price available now.
Our target
US$385.50
by 26 Sept 2026
Projected move
6.4%
gross, before costs
Last close is our buy — the best price available now.
The lines are drawn where this stock has actually turned: 3 touches on the ceiling, 2 on the floor, each fitted to the slope that catches the most of them. Buying one average daily range below its 50-day mean, on heavier volume than usual and while it is still above its 200-day mean, has come up 791 times; measured against the 6% floor — the least a call has to be worth to be worth making, not what it aims at — 73% cleared it, typically in 34 days, with price going about 5% against the entry along the way (63% in the worst case we have on record). Trades that have not reached the target within 3 months are counted as misses, whatever they are worth at the time. The prices above are this stock’s own — its average, its volatility — but the setup is the same one we apply everywhere: derived on eight unrelated tickers, then confirmed on 87 others it was never fitted to. We deliberately do not tune it to each stock: doing so scores worse on history the tuning never saw — 58% against 71% — because it fits the past rather than the future. On this stock the setup has come up 12 times so far, reaching target 83% of the time. The sell price comes from where this stock is projected to be, not from a minimum worth taking: the fitted path reaches more than 30% above the entry within 90 days, and of the sizes that path supports, 6% is the one that has returned the most per day of money tied up here — measured over the 12 times this entry has come up on this chart, reached 92% of the time, typically in 10 days. Smaller sizes got there sooner but paid less for the weeks they used; larger ones need a break above the projected ceiling, which is not the base case. The date published is whichever is later: that typical time, or the day the projected path itself reaches the price. It is a prediction, so it can be revised: if the run tops out before it gets there, the target is cut to what is actually on the table and you are told the same day. An ordinary pullback is not treated as topping out — those go on to make a new high about 8 times in 10, so they are ridden through. What triggers the revision is price closing below its 50-day trend and staying there, after which the odds of recovery fall to roughly 3 in 10.
- Upper line touches
- 3
- Lower line touches
- 2
- Fit confidence
- 79%
- Fitted
- 16 Sept 2026
About Analog Devices, Inc.
Analog Devices, Inc. (ADI) is a technology leader specializing in the conception, production, validation, and global marketing of integrated circuits (ICs), software solutions, and advanced subsystems. Their offerings leverage sophisticated analog, mixed-signal, and digital signal processing technologies. The company's comprehensive product lineup features data converters, which are critical for transforming real-world analog signals into digital data and subsequently converting digital data back into analog signals. They also provide power management and reference devices, essential for power conversion, driver supervision, system sequencing, and energy optimization in industries such as automotive, telecommunications, industrial applications, and premium consumer markets. These power ICs are supported by integrated performance, integration, and software design simulation tools for precise power supply development. ADI's portfolio further includes high-performance amplifiers, designed for conditioning analog signals, as well as radio frequency (RF) and microwave ICs that underpin cellular infrastructure. They also develop microelectromechanical systems (MEMS) technology, encompassing accelerometers for sensing acceleration, gyroscopes for measuring rotation, inertial measurement units (IMUs) for detecting multi-axis movement, broadband switches for radio and instrumentation systems, and isolators. Moreover, the company supplies digital signal processing (DSP) and system products engineered for rapid numeric calculations. Serving a wide array of clients across the industrial, automotive, consumer, instrumentation, aerospace, and communications sectors, Analog Devices distributes its products globally. This is accomplished via a multifaceted approach, including a direct sales force, authorized third-party distributors, independent sales representatives throughout the United States, the Americas, Europe, Japan, China, and other regions of Asia, in addition to its online platform. Analog Devices, Inc. was founded in 1965 and is headquartered in Wilmington, Massachusetts.
- Sector
- Technology
- Industry
- Semiconductors
- CEO
- Vincent T. Roche
- Employees
- 24,500
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
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- Profitability
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- Financial health
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- Cash generation
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Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$184.50B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 1.21
- Avg volume
- 4.43M
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 223.47-445.91
- Exchange
- NASDAQ
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
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- PEG
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- Price / sales
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- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
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- Net margin
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- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.