ABR Arbor Realty Trust
Trend channel, buy level and 3-month target. Information only, not financial advice.
Below the channel · 12-month channel falling
Closed below support (US$3.87). Treat the buy level with caution.
- 12-month channel
- US$3.87 – US$7.71 · falling, −56% a year
- Price in channel
- −51% (0% = floor, 100% = ceiling)
- Ceiling overhead
- US$7.71
- Published levels
- Buy and target are not from this channel — see below.
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -83% from US$12.6211 Nov 2024 → 30 Oct 2026
- Whose problem it was
- This company1 of 1 REIT - Mortgage peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Unsettled too close to a coin toss on the record to call
- Regained so far
- 0%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 38% of 280 comparable falls came back, typically in 176 days measured across every stock we hold history for, its peer group being too small
Fell -83% (11 Nov 2024 → 30 Oct 2026); regained 0% so far; company-specific.
Reported at the time: Price Over Earnings Overview: Arbor Realty Trust — 12 Nov 2024
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
Updated 6:13 PM ET (5 h ago)
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (12 months)
- Lower trend line (12 months)
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Suggested path
Buy now
US$1.90
last close · 2 Nov 2026
Our target
US$2.37
by 28 Dec 2026
Projected move
24.8%
gross, before costs
Last close is our buy.
Target: ABR's usual move size.
This move size: reached in 40% of 21 past stretches, typically in 28 days. (0.29% per day)
6 settled calls · 3 reached target (50%) · average best move 8.3%. See the full record.
- Upper line touches
- 5
- Lower line touches
- 4
- Fit confidence
- 46%
- Fitted
- 2 Nov 2026
Company information
About Arbor Realty Trust
Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. invests in a diversified portfolio of structured finance assets in the multifamily, single-family rental, and commercial real estate markets in the United States. It operates in two segments, Structured Business and Agency Business. The company invests in bridge and mezzanine loans, including junior participating interests in first mortgages, and preferred and direct equity, as well as real estate-related joint ventures, real estate-related notes, and various mortgage-related securities. It also offers bridge financing products to borrowers who seek short-term capital to be used in an acquisition of property; financing products to borrowers looking to develop, acquire or refinance conventional, workforce and affordable single-family rental (SFR) housing; multifamily investors short-term floating-rate financing for new and construction-ready multifamily projects; and mezzanine financing in the form of loans that are subordinate to a conventional first mortgage loan and senior to the borrower’s equity in a transaction. In addition, the company provides financing by making preferred equity investments in entities that directly or indirectly own real property that are subordinate to a first mortgage loan; and invest in structured transactions, which are primarily comprised of joint ventures formed to acquire, develop and/or sell real estate-related assets. Further, it underwrites, originates, sells, and services financing loans underwritten using similar guidelines of existing agency loans sold to the government-sponsored enterprises; and long-term permanent fixed rate loans on SFR properties. The company qualifies as a real estate investment trust for federal income tax purposes. It generally would not be subject to federal corporate income taxes if it distributes at least 90% of its taxable income to its stockholders. Arbor Realty Trust, Inc. was incorporated in 2003 and is headquartered in Uniondale, New York.
- Sector
- Real Estate
- Industry
- REIT - Mortgage
- CEO
- Ivan Kaufman
- Employees
- 653
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own scores from the fundamentals below (not Morningstar ratings).
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$538.22M
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 1.19
- Avg volume
- 5.00M
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 2.53-11.93
- Exchange
- NYSE
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted to past swing highs and lows and may not continue. Information only, not financial advice.