AAL American Airlines Group Inc.
American Airlines Group Inc. (AAL) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Industrials. Listed on NASDAQ. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. If this ticker has no settled sample yet, treat the numbers as a geometric read, not a track record. Information only, not financial advice.
Broken down below
Price has closed below the channel. Support has failed — treat the buy target with caution.
Read from the last 18 months of history we hold: rising, drifting +23% a year. The nearest ceiling overhead is US$20.28. What would overturn this: a close below US$14.91 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 18 months read from
- US$14.91 – US$20.28 Rising channel, +23% a year
- Position in that channel
- -41% below the floor of it — 0% is the floor, 100% the ceiling
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (18 months)
- Lower trend line (18 months)
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Our target
No published call today because price has broken 15.3% below the channel floor, which is a fall out of the trend rather than a dip within it. No alerts are sent. The buy and target below are still this site's read of the fitted channel.
Buy now
US$12.72
last close · 16 Sept 2026
Channel buy is US$14.91; last close is the better price available now.
Our target
US$22.19
by 16 Dec 2026
Projected move
74.5%
gross, before costs
Last close is our buy — the best price available now.
- Upper line touches
- 4
- Lower line touches
- 2
- Fit confidence
- 56%
- Fitted
- 16 Sept 2026
About American Airlines Group Inc.
American Airlines Group Inc. functions as a prominent network air carrier, delivering scheduled air transportation for both passengers and freight. Its operations are anchored by key hubs located in Charlotte, Chicago, Dallas/Fort Worth, Los Angeles, Miami, New York, Philadelphia, Phoenix, and Washington, D.C. Additionally, it expands its global reach through strategic partner gateways situated in London, Madrid, Seattle/Tacoma, Sydney, and Tokyo. As of December 31, 2021, the company maintained a substantial mainline fleet comprising 865 aircraft. This enterprise, established in 1930 and headquartered in Fort Worth, Texas, previously operated under the name AMR Corporation until its rebranding to American Airlines Group Inc. in December 2013.
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Airlines, Airports & Air Services
- CEO
- Robert D. Isom Jr.
- Employees
- 143,400
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- 91/100
- Profitability
- 11/100
- Financial health
- 34/100
- Cash generation
- 28/100
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$8.41B
- Enterprise value
- US$43.11B
- Beta
- 1.33
- Avg volume
- 94.45M
- Revenue per share
- 88.10
- Dividend yield
- 0.00%
- 52-week range
- 10.09-18.79
- Exchange
- NASDAQ
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- -25.92
- PEG
- 0.17
- Price / sales
- 0.14
- Price / book
- -2.12
- EV / EBITDA
- 12.83
- Gross margin
- 21.02%
- Operating margin
- 1.73%
- Net margin
- -0.56%
- Current ratio
- 0.53
- Quick ratio
- 0.42
- Debt / equity
- -9.00
- Interest cover
- 1.16
Income statement
| Year | Revenue | Gross profit | Operating income | Net income | EPS |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$54.63B | US$10.47B | US$1.47B | US$111.00M | US$0.17 |
| 2024 | US$54.21B | US$11.46B | US$2.61B | US$846.00M | US$1.24 |
| 2023 | US$52.79B | US$11.81B | US$3.03B | US$822.00M | US$1.14 |
| 2022 | US$48.97B | US$9.04B | US$1.61B | US$127.00M | US$0.19 |
| 2021 | US$29.88B | US$27.00M | -US$1.06B | -US$1.99B | -US$3.09 |
Balance sheet
| Year | Total assets | Total liabilities | Total equity |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$61.77B | US$65.50B | -US$3.73B |
| 2024 | US$61.78B | US$65.76B | -US$3.98B |
| 2023 | US$63.06B | US$68.26B | -US$5.20B |
| 2022 | US$64.72B | US$70.52B | -US$5.80B |
| 2021 | US$66.47B | US$73.81B | -US$7.34B |
Cash flow
| Year | Operating cash flow | Free cash flow | Net income |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$3.10B | -US$680.00M | US$111.00M |
| 2024 | US$3.98B | US$1.30B | US$846.00M |
| 2023 | US$3.80B | US$1.21B | US$822.00M |
| 2022 | US$2.17B | -US$373.00M | US$127.00M |
| 2021 | US$704.00M | US$496.00M | -US$1.99B |
EPS forecasts
| Period | Est. EPS | Est. revenue | Analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025 | US$0.5573 | US$54.67B | 15 |
| 2026 | -US$0.0845 | US$63.14B | 13 |
| 2027 | US$2.32 | US$66.18B | 14 |
| 2028 | US$3.13 | US$69.12B | 7 |
| 2029 | US$3.26 | US$71.70B | 2 |
| 2030 | US$3.20 | US$77.52B | 4 |
Analyst view
- Target (mean)
- US$19.30
- Target (high)
- US$25.00
- Target (low)
- US$13.00
- Strong buy
- 0
- Buy
- 17
- Hold
- 18
- Sell
- 3
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.