STRL Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.
Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. (STRL) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Industrials. Listed on NASDAQ. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. If this ticker has no settled sample yet, treat the numbers as a geometric read, not a track record. Information only, not financial advice.
Broken down below
Price has closed below the channel. Support has failed — treat the buy target with caution.
Read from the last 3 years of history we hold: rising, drifting more than +100% a year. The nearest ceiling overhead is US$829.92. What would overturn this: a close below US$557.26 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 3 years read from
- US$557.26 – US$829.92 Rising channel, more than +100% a year
- Position in that channel
- -27% below the floor of it — 0% is the floor, 100% the ceiling
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -54% from US$993.464 June 2026 → 1 Sept 2026
- Whose problem it was
- This company1 of 2 Engineering & Construction peers fell with it
- Does it resolve?
- Unsettled too close to a coin toss on the record to call
- Regained so far
- 3%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 60% of 605 comparable falls came back, typically in 126 days measured across every stock we hold history for, its peer group being too small
The trend broke in June 2026: price fell 54% from 993.46 to 456.10 by September 2026, and has regained 3% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. The wire that week: “Keybanc Maintains Overweight on Sterling Infrastructure, Raises Price Target to $922”. What happens next is not settled: falls of about 54% here have come back to the old high 60% of the time (605 comparable falls), typically in 126 days, which is too close to a coin toss to price a recovery from.
Reported at the time: Keybanc Maintains Overweight on Sterling Infrastructure, Raises Price Target to $922 — 2 June 2026
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (3 years)
- Lower trend line (3 years)
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Our target
No published call today because price has broken 14.8% below the channel floor, which is a fall out of the trend rather than a dip within it. No alerts are sent. The buy and target below are still this site's read of the fitted channel.
Buy now
US$482.80
last close · 16 Sept 2026
Channel buy is US$558.40; last close is the better price available now.
Our target
US$1,007
by 16 Dec 2026
Projected move
108.7%
gross, before costs
Last close is our buy — the best price available now.
- Upper line touches
- 6
- Lower line touches
- 4
- Fit confidence
- 34%
- Fitted
- 15 Sept 2026
About Sterling Infrastructure, Inc.
Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. operates across three distinct business segments: transportation, e-infrastructure, and building solutions. The company's operations span a significant portion of the United States, including the Southern, Northeastern, and Mid-Atlantic regions, as well as the Rocky Mountain states, California, and Hawaii. Within its transportation division, Sterling specializes in developing and rehabilitating critical infrastructure. This includes projects such as highways, roads, bridges, airports, ports, and light rail systems, alongside essential water, wastewater, and storm drainage solutions. Their clients in this sector range from state departments of transportation and regional transit authorities to airport, port, and water authorities, as well as railway companies. Furthermore, Sterling delivers specialized site infrastructure development services. These projects cater to high-profile "blue-chip" clients operating within the e-commerce, data center, distribution and warehousing, and energy industries. The building solutions segment focuses on concrete work for both residential and commercial applications. This encompasses foundations for single-family and multi-family residences, as well as parking structures, elevated slabs, and other custom concrete projects. Their client base here includes national, regional, and custom home builders, as well as developers and general contractors in the commercial sector. Originally established in 1955, the company operated as Sterling Construction Company, Inc. until its renaming to Sterling Infrastructure, Inc. in June 2022. Its corporate headquarters are located in The Woodlands, Texas.
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Engineering & Construction
- CEO
- Joseph A. Cutillo
- Employees
- 4,400
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$15.68B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 1.85
- Avg volume
- 766.09K
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 281.58-1005.68
- Exchange
- NASDAQ
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.