SCHW The Charles Schwab Corporation
The Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Financial Services. Listed on NYSE. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. On this symbol, 11 comparable calls have settled; 72.7% reached the published sell target. Information only, not financial advice.
Mid-channel, rising on both timeframes
Price is between the two trend lines. Nothing to act on yet.
The next few months are read from the last 12 months, not the last 9 months: that channel fits this stock's recent turns at least as well (70% against 75%) and it is the one price is respecting now. The last 9 months stay as context: rising, +8% a year. The target of US$110.56 is below the nearest ceiling (US$115.60), so it does not depend on a breakout. What would overturn this: a close below US$86.57 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 9 months
- US$85.70 – US$115.60 Rising channel, +8% a year
- 12 months read from
- US$86.57 – US$127.27 Rising channel, +8% a year
- Position in that channel
- 46% 0% at the floor, 100% at the ceiling
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (9 months)
- Lower trend line (9 months)
- The same lines over the last 12 months
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Suggested path
Buy at or below
US$104.30
level as at 20 Sept 2026
Our target
US$110.56
by 4 Oct 2026
Projected move
6.0%
gross, before costs
Price sits between our buy level and our target.
The lines are drawn where this stock has actually turned: 3 touches on the ceiling, 6 on the floor, each fitted to the slope that catches the most of them. Buying one average daily range below its 50-day mean, on heavier volume than usual and while it is still above its 200-day mean, has come up 791 times; measured against the 6% floor — the least a call has to be worth to be worth making, not what it aims at — 73% cleared it, typically in 34 days, with price going about 5% against the entry along the way (63% in the worst case we have on record). Trades that have not reached the target within 3 months are counted as misses, whatever they are worth at the time. The prices above are this stock’s own — its average, its volatility — but the setup is the same one we apply everywhere: derived on eight unrelated tickers, then confirmed on 87 others it was never fitted to. We deliberately do not tune it to each stock: doing so scores worse on history the tuning never saw — 58% against 71% — because it fits the past rather than the future. On this stock the setup has come up 11 times so far, reaching target 73% of the time. The sell price comes from where this stock is projected to be, not from a minimum worth taking: the fitted path reaches 13% above the entry within 90 days, and of the sizes that path supports, 6% is the one that has returned the most per day of money tied up here — measured over the 11 times this entry has come up on this chart, reached 82% of the time, typically in 14 days. Smaller sizes got there sooner but paid less for the weeks they used; larger ones need a break above the projected ceiling, which is not the base case. The date published is whichever is later: that typical time, or the day the projected path itself reaches the price. It is a prediction, so it can be revised: if the run tops out before it gets there, the target is cut to what is actually on the table and you are told the same day. An ordinary pullback is not treated as topping out — those go on to make a new high about 8 times in 10, so they are ridden through. What triggers the revision is price closing below its 50-day trend and staying there, after which the odds of recovery fall to roughly 3 in 10.
On this stock's own history these rules produced 11 settled calls, of which 8 reached target (72.7%), with an average best move of 7.7%. See the full record.
- Upper line touches
- 3
- Lower line touches
- 6
- Fit confidence
- 75%
- Fitted
- 15 Sept 2026
About The Charles Schwab Corporation
The Charles Schwab Corporation (SCHW) stands as a prominent financial services enterprise, delivering a comprehensive suite of offerings that encompass wealth management, securities trading and brokerage, banking services, asset administration, custodial solutions, and financial planning advice. Its operations are primarily structured around two core divisions: Investor Services and Advisor Services. The Investor Services segment caters directly to individual retail clients, furnishing a range of services such as brokerage accounts, investment guidance, banking and trust administration, retirement planning, and corporate brokerage offerings. It further assists businesses with the full-service recordkeeping of equity compensation plans (e.g., stock options, restricted stock, performance shares), provides clearing services for retail investors and mutual funds, and offers compliance solutions. Conversely, the Advisor Services segment provides a robust support system for independent investment advisors. This includes custodial services, trading platforms, banking infrastructure, and general operational support. Within this segment, offerings span diverse brokerage accounts for equities, fixed income, margin lending, options, and futures/forex trading. It also facilitates cash management through various instruments, provides access to a broad selection of proprietary and third-party mutual funds and ETFs, and offers comprehensive trading and clearing for these investment vehicles. Furthermore, it delivers sophisticated advice solutions like managed portfolios, separately managed accounts, customized personal financial guidance, and specialized planning. Complementing these are banking products such as checking and savings accounts, first-lien residential mortgages, home equity lines of credit, and pledged asset lines, alongside a full spectrum of trust services including custody, reporting, and administrative roles. As of December 31, 2021, the company maintained an extensive physical presence, with approximately 400 domestic branch offices located across 48 U.S. states and the District of Columbia, in addition to sites in Puerto Rico, the United Kingdom, Hong Kong, and Singapore. Established in 1971, its corporate headquarters are situated in Westlake, Texas.
- Sector
- Financial Services
- Industry
- Financial - Capital Markets
- CEO
- Richard Andrew Wurster
- Employees
- 33,700
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$185.29B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 0.75
- Avg volume
- 9.70M
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 83.96-114.53
- Exchange
- NYSE
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.