RF Regions Financial Corporation
Regions Financial Corporation (RF) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Financial Services. Listed on NYSE. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. If this ticker has no settled sample yet, treat the numbers as a geometric read, not a track record. Information only, not financial advice.
In the buy zone
Price is sitting on the lower trend line — the level that has repeatedly held.
Read from the last 9 months of history we hold: rising, drifting +0% a year. The target of US$34.83 sits above the nearest ceiling (US$32.58), so reaching it means breaking a line this stock has repeatedly turned at. What would overturn this: a close below US$29.12 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 9 months read from
- US$29.12 – US$32.58 Rising channel, +0% a year
- Position in that channel
- -19% below the floor of it — 0% is the floor, 100% the ceiling
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (9 months)
- Lower trend line (9 months)
- The same lines over the last 12 months
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Suggested path
Buy now
US$28.48
last close · 16 Sept 2026
Channel buy is US$30.29; last close is the better price available now.
Our target
US$34.83
by 5 Dec 2026
Projected move
22.3%
gross, before costs
Last close is our buy — the best price available now.
The lines are drawn where this stock has actually turned: 3 touches on the ceiling, 2 on the floor, each fitted to the slope that catches the most of them. Buying one average daily range below its 50-day mean, on heavier volume than usual and while it is still above its 200-day mean, has come up 791 times; measured against the 6% floor — the least a call has to be worth to be worth making, not what it aims at — 73% cleared it, typically in 34 days, with price going about 5% against the entry along the way (63% in the worst case we have on record). Trades that have not reached the target within 3 months are counted as misses, whatever they are worth at the time. The prices above are this stock’s own — its average, its volatility — but the setup is the same one we apply everywhere: derived on eight unrelated tickers, then confirmed on 87 others it was never fitted to. We deliberately do not tune it to each stock: doing so scores worse on history the tuning never saw — 58% against 71% — because it fits the past rather than the future. On this stock the setup has come up 10 times so far, reaching target 80% of the time. The sell price comes from where this stock is projected to be, not from a minimum worth taking: the fitted path reaches NaN% above the entry within 90 days, and of the sizes that path supports, 15% is the one that has returned the most per day of money tied up here — measured over 10 stretches of this stock’s own history, since the published entry itself is too rare here to size a target from, reached 70% of the time, typically in 38 days. Smaller sizes got there sooner but paid less for the weeks they used; larger ones need a break above the projected ceiling, which is not the base case. The date published is whichever is later: that typical time, or the day the projected path itself reaches the price. It is a prediction, so it can be revised: if the run tops out before it gets there, the target is cut to what is actually on the table and you are told the same day. An ordinary pullback is not treated as topping out — those go on to make a new high about 8 times in 10, so they are ridden through. What triggers the revision is price closing below its 50-day trend and staying there, after which the odds of recovery fall to roughly 3 in 10.
- Upper line touches
- 3
- Lower line touches
- 2
- Fit confidence
- 74%
- Fitted
- 5 Sept 2026
About Regions Financial Corporation
Regions Financial Corporation (RF) operates as a financial holding company, delivering a comprehensive array of banking and related services to both individual consumers and corporate entities. The firm's operations are strategically divided into three principal divisions: Corporate Bank, Consumer Bank, and Wealth Management. The Corporate Bank segment specializes in commercial banking solutions. Its extensive offerings include various lending options such as commercial and industrial loans, commercial real estate financing, and investor real estate credit. Furthermore, it provides equipment lease financing, manages diverse deposit products, and offers sophisticated capital markets services like securities underwriting and placement, loan syndication, foreign exchange, derivatives, and merger and acquisition advisory, along with other consulting services. This segment primarily serves corporate clients, middle-market businesses, and developers and investors in commercial real estate. Focusing on individual customers, the Consumer Bank segment delivers a range of personal financial products. These include residential first mortgages, home equity lines of credit and loans, consumer credit cards, and other personal lending facilities, in addition to deposit accounts. The Wealth Management division offers extensive financial planning and asset management services. Its provisions encompass credit-related products, retirement and savings solutions, trust and investment management, and estate planning expertise. Its diverse clientele includes individuals, businesses, governmental organizations, and non-profit entities. Beyond these core banking functions, Regions Financial Corporation also provides investment and insurance products, facilitates the syndication of corporate funds for low-income housing tax credits, and engages in various other specialized financing activities. As of March 1, 2022, the company maintained a significant physical presence, operating through a network of 1,300 banking branches and approximately 2,000 automated teller machines across the Southern, Midwestern, and Texas regions of the United States. Regions Financial Corporation was established in 1971 and its corporate headquarters are located in Birmingham, Alabama.
- Sector
- Financial Services
- Industry
- Banks - Regional
- CEO
- John Turner Jr.
- Employees
- 20,003
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$25.71B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 1.00
- Avg volume
- 9.78M
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 22.7-32.47
- Exchange
- NYSE
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.