RBC RBC Bearings Incorporated
RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) trend channel, buy level and 3-month target on Trade The Path. Sector: Industrials. Listed on NYSE. Levels below are fitted to this ticker's own swing highs and lows (Theil–Sen, log-price), then projected 3 months. If this ticker has no settled sample yet, treat the numbers as a geometric read, not a track record. Information only, not financial advice.
Broken down below, rising on both timeframes
Price has closed below the channel. Support has failed — treat the buy target with caution.
Read from the last 12 months of history we hold: rising, drifting +63% a year. The target of US$655.79 is below the nearest ceiling (US$730.05), so it does not depend on a breakout. What would overturn this: a close below US$647.29 — the floor of the channel being read — after which the trend, not the entry, is what was wrong.
- 12 months read from
- US$647.89 – US$730.56 Rising channel, +63% a year
- Position in that channel
- -195% below the floor of it — 0% is the floor, 100% the ceiling
What broke this trend
- The fall
- -26% from US$648.9925 June 2026 → 10 Sept 2026
- Whose problem it was
- This companyno peer group to compare against
- Does it resolve?
- Temporary falls like it have resolved on the record
- Regained so far
- 4%of what it lost
- What the record says
- 87% of 1077 comparable falls came back, typically in 66 days measured across every stock we hold history for, its peer group being too small
The trend broke in June 2026: price fell 26% from 648.99 to 477.65 by September 2026, and has regained 4% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 26% here have come back to the old high 87% of the time (1077 comparable falls), typically in 66 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it. Priced from that: 655.79 within 176 days, reached 87% of the time in 1077 comparable falls — about 0.20% a day held.
The buy and sell prices below are priced off this recovery rather than off the channel: it is the better expected return per day held once each is charged for the odds of working.
Price history, with the path projected 3 months forward
- Daily close
- Upper trend line (12 months)
- Lower trend line (12 months)
- Dashed after today: projected 3 months
- Our buy
- Our target
Suggested path
Buy at or below
US$483.79
level as at 16 Sept 2026
Our target
US$655.79
by 11 Mar 2027
Projected move
35.6%
gross, before costs
Price sits between our buy level and our target.
The trend broke in June 2026: price fell 26% from 648.99 to 477.65 by September 2026, and has regained 4% of that fall since. Its peers did not fall with it, so this was about the company rather than its sector. Falls like it have resolved: falls of about 26% here have come back to the old high 87% of the time (1077 comparable falls), typically in 66 days. On that record the fall is treated as temporary, and the trend lines are fitted to the regime it created rather than through it. Priced from that: 655.79 within 176 days, reached 87% of the time in 1077 comparable falls — about 0.20% a day held. The entry is today's price, not a dip level: the fall is behind it and the evidence measured is what these recoveries paid from here, so waiting for a lower entry would be waiting for something the record does not say is coming. Of 1077 comparable falls across every stock we hold history for, 87% were back at the old high within 66 days of the low, and the ones that got there gave up about 9% along the way — so expect to be underwater before it works. The target is the median level they regained, which is short of the old high of 648.99 because not all of them saw it again. It is a prediction and it is revised the same way any other is: if price loses its 50-day trend and stays below it, the recovery is treated as failed rather than delayed.
- Upper line touches
- 3
- Lower line touches
- 2
- Fit confidence
- 81%
- Fitted
- 16 Sept 2026
About RBC Bearings Incorporated
RBC Bearings Incorporated (RBC) is a global enterprise specializing in the design, production, and distribution of precisely engineered bearings and a wide array of related mechanical components. The company strategically operates through two core segments: Aerospace/Defense and Industrial, catering to both domestic and international clients. Its diverse product portfolio includes: Plain bearings: Available in self-lubricating or metal-on-metal designs, featuring rod end, spherical plain, and journal bearings. Roller bearings: These anti-friction devices, such as tapered roller, needle roller, needle bearing track rollers, and cam followers, are vital for various industrial uses and military aircraft platforms. Ball bearings: This category encompasses high-precision aerospace, airframe control, thin section, and industrial ball bearings, all engineered with high-precision ball elements to minimize friction in demanding, high-speed applications. Beyond its primary bearing offerings, RBC also provides: Mounted bearing products: Including complete mounted ball, roller, and plain bearing units. Enclosed gearing systems: A comprehensive range featuring Quantis gearmotors, torque arm units, Tigear, MagnaGear & Maxum lines, and controlled start transmissions. Power transmission components: Such as mechanical drive elements, couplings, and conveyor parts. Engineered hydraulics and valves: Specifically developed for aircraft and submarine systems, alongside comprehensive aftermarket services for the aerospace and defense sectors. Fasteners. Precision mechanical components: Applied across diverse general industrial settings. Machine tool collets: Essential for securing circular or rod-shaped workpieces during machining. RBC reaches an extensive customer base across numerous industries, including automotive, tool holding, agricultural and semiconductor machinery, commercial and defense aerospace, ground defense, construction and mining, oil and natural resource extraction, heavy truck, marine, rail and train, packaging, food and beverage, wind energy, and general industrial markets. The company distributes its products via a dedicated direct sales force and a robust network of industrial and aerospace distributors. Established in 1919, RBC Bearings Incorporated maintains its corporate headquarters in Oxford, Connecticut.
- Sector
- Industrials
- Industry
- Manufacturing - Tools & Accessories
- CEO
- Michael J. Hartnett
- Employees
- 5,816
- Country
- US
Scorecard
Our own pillar scores, computed from the fundamentals below. They are not Morningstar ratings — that data is licensed and we do not redistribute it.
- Valuation
- —
- Profitability
- —
- Financial health
- —
- Cash generation
- —
Key statistics
- Market cap
- US$15.65B
- Enterprise value
- —
- Beta
- 1.40
- Avg volume
- 259.87K
- Revenue per share
- —
- Dividend yield
- —
- 52-week range
- 364.5-667.69
- Exchange
- NYSE
Key ratios
- P/E (TTM)
- —
- PEG
- —
- Price / sales
- —
- Price / book
- —
- EV / EBITDA
- —
- Gross margin
- —
- Operating margin
- —
- Net margin
- —
- Current ratio
- —
- Quick ratio
- —
- Debt / equity
- —
- Interest cover
- —
Income statement
Balance sheet
Cash flow
Trend lines are fitted statistically to past swing highs and lows and projected forward on the assumption the same rhythm continues. It often does not. This is information, not advice.